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Cup Russia

02.10.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

02.10.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala - FC Rostov

Russia Football

Dinamo Makhachkala

1 : 1

Finished

FC Rostov

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dinamo Makhachkala - FC Rostov October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Rostov.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Rostov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.33 / X 3.14 / 2 2.27
1X2 market: Dinamo Makhachkala 28.6% / X 29.9% / FC Rostov 41.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 61.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9%

1 28.3%

X 30.1%

2 41.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 38.4%

Under 2.5 61.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 02.10.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Dinamo Makhachkala - FC Rostov

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.27 market consensus · line only

X 3.15 market consensus · line only

1 3.35 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.30 market consensus · line only

12 1.35 market consensus · line only

1X 1.66 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.18 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.48 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.70 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.49 28.7%
X	3.23 31.0%
	2.26 44.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SBO	SStats Consensus
	2.37 42.2%	3.76 26.6%	3.54 28.3%	3.49 28.7%	3.25 30.8%	3.49 28.7%
X	3.05 32.8%	3.32 30.1%	3.24 30.9%	3.23 31.0%	2.84 35.2%	3.23 31.0%
	2.70 37.0%	2.21 45.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.26 44.3%	2.04 49.0%	2.26 44.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%
yes	2.07 48.3%	2.06 48.5%	2.04 49.0%	2.13 47.0%	2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SBO	SStats Consensus	Superbet
draw_away	1.32 75.8%	1.31 76.3%	1.33 75.2%	1.21 82.6%	1.33 75.2%	1.27 78.7%
home_away	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.68 59.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.68 59.5%	1.60 62.5%

Match center

Dinamo Makhachkala

W W D W L

16.09 17:45 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 2:1 Nizhny Novgorod

27.08 17:45 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 3:1 FC Rostov

12.08 17:45 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 1:1 Spartak Moskva

30.07 15:30 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 1:0 Nizhny Novgorod

22.10 15:30 UTC Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala 0:1 Spartak Moskva

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

FC Rostov

W L L L W

18.09 17:45 UTC Cup

FC Rostov 2:1 Spartak Moskva

27.08 17:45 UTC Cup

FC Rostov 1:3 Dinamo Makhachkala

14.08 16:30 UTC Cup

FC Rostov 0:1 Nizhny Novgorod

30.07 17:45 UTC Cup

FC Rostov 0:2 Spartak Moskva

15.05 17:00 UTC Cup

FC Rostov 2:1 Spartak Moskva

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDinamo Makhachkala - FC Rostov

Dinamo Makhachkala

1 matches total

FC Rostov

Dinamo Makhachkala: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FC Rostov: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Dinamo Makhachkala 3:1 (27.08 17:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 27.08 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

27.08 17:45 UTC

Cup

Dinamo Makhachkala

3:1

FC Rostov