AI verdict

AI pick Spartak Moscow win probability ~40% confidence Low best odds 2.38

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Spartak Moscow. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.
Get Full Access →
Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow — Football prediction

Russia Football
Dynamo
Dynamo
5 : 2
Finished
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow

Dynamo take on Spartak Moscow on March 5, 2026 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dynamo 2-1-1, Spartak Moscow 3-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at about 40%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dynamo - Spartak Moscow March 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spartak Moscow.

Line favourite market consensus: Spartak Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.93 / X 3.35 / 2 2.38
  • 1X2 market: Dynamo 32.4% / X 28.1% / Spartak Moscow 39.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9% 6 books · best price +1.7%
1 31.5%
X 28.6%
2 40.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →
Match center
Start 05.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Market 1 32.2% @ 2.93 / X 28.2% @ 3.35 / 2 39.6% @ 2.38
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Dynamo - Spartak Moscow

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 2.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
2.59 38.6% 3.12 32.1% 3.08 32.5% 3.06 32.7% 2.64 37.9% 3.06 32.7%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.44 29.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.37 29.7% 3.07 32.6% 3.37 29.7%
2.26 44.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.41 41.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.41 41.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.36 42.4%
yes 1.68 59.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.21 82.6% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.0 1.35 74.1%
Over 2.25 1.57 63.7%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
Over 2.75 1.97 50.8%
Over 3.0 2.30 43.5%
Over 3.25 2.58 38.8%
Over 3.5 2.84 35.2%
Over 3.75 3.42 29.2%
Over 4.0 4.60 21.7%
Over 4.25 4.95 20.2%
Under 2.5 1.99 50.3%
Match center
Dynamo
L W D W
27.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 0:1 ZenitZenit
22.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Dynamo 4:0 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 0:0 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
17.09 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 4:0 FC SochiFC Sochi
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Spartak Moscow
W W W L
26.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 3:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
21.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 3:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
01.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
18.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.5 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Dynamo - Spartak Moscow

Dynamo
2 matches total
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Spartak Moscow: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Spartak Moskva 1:2 (29.04 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 02.10 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo
1:2
Spartak Moskva
02.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Dinamo
2:3
Spartak Moskva

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Spartak Moscow. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow?

Live odds for Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow start?

March 5, 2026.