Cup
Cup Russia
05.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Dynamo - Спартак Москва

Russia Futbol
Dynamo
Dynamo
5 : 2
Finished
Спартак Москва
Спартак Москва

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dynamo - Спартак Москва 5 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Спартак Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: Спартак Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.93 / X 3.35 / 2 2.38
  • 1X2 market: Dynamo 32.4% / X 28.1% / Спартак Москва 39.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 32.2%
X 28.2%
2 39.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

Dynamo - Спартак Москва

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 2.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
П1 2.59 38.6% 3.12 32.1% 3.08 32.5% 3.06 32.7% 2.64 37.9% 3.06 32.7%
Х 3.45 29.0% 3.44 29.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.37 29.7% 3.07 32.6% 3.37 29.7%
П2 2.26 44.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.41 41.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.41 41.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.36 42.4%
yes 1.68 59.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.21 82.6% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 0.75 1.00 100.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.25 1.11 90.1%
ТБ 1.5 1.22 82.0%
ТБ 1.75 1.27 78.7%
ТБ 2.0 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 2.25 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
ТБ 2.75 1.97 50.8%
ТБ 3.0 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 3.25 2.58 38.8%
ТБ 3.5 2.84 35.2%
ТБ 3.75 3.42 29.2%
ТБ 4.0 4.60 21.7%
ТБ 4.25 4.95 20.2%
ТМ 2.5 1.99 50.3%
Match center
Dynamo
L W W D W
27.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 0:1 ZenitZenit
05.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 3:1 ZenitZenit
22.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Dynamo 4:0 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 0:0 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
17.09 17:30 UTC Cup
Dynamo 4:0 FC SochiFC Sochi
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Спартак Москва
W W W W L
26.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 3:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
06.11 16:30 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 3:1 LokomotivLokomotiv
21.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 3:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
01.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
18.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 1:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDynamo - Спартак Москва

Dynamo
2 matches total
Спартак Москва
Dynamo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Спартак Москва: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Spartak Moskva 1:2 (29.04 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 02.10 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo
1:2
Spartak Moskva
02.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Dinamo
2:3
Spartak Moskva