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Cup
Cup Russia
30.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Fakel - Arsenal Tula

Russia Football
Fakel
Fakel
2 : 3
Finished
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula

Fakel take on Arsenal Tula on October 30, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fakel 2-1-2, Arsenal Tula 2-1-0. The market favourite is Fakel at roughly 53%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fakel - Arsenal Tula October 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fakel.

Line favourite market consensus: Fakel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.28 / 2 4.91
  • 1X2 market: Fakel 52.9% / X 28.0% / Arsenal Tula 19.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 53.1%
X 28.1%
2 18.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 9.4%
Over 2.5 36.5%
Under 2.5 63.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 53.1% @ 1.74 / X 28.1% @ 3.28 / 2 18.8% @ 4.91
Match center

Fakel - Arsenal Tula

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.91 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.09 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
1.96 51.0% 1.78 56.2% 1.69 59.2% 1.71 58.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.69 59.2%
X 2.90 34.5% 3.53 28.3% 3.36 29.8% 3.56 28.1% 3.05 32.8% 3.36 29.8%
3.40 29.4% 5.73 17.5% 5.45 18.4% 4.56 21.9% 4.79 20.9% 5.45 18.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.60 62.5% 1.51 66.2% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.26 44.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.35 42.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 2.16 46.3% 2.09 47.9% 2.14 46.7% 2.09 47.9% 1.97 50.8%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.21 82.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.13 88.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.0 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.25 1.31 76.3%
Over 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.75 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.0 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 2.25 2.21 45.3%
Over 2.5 2.51 39.8%
Over 2.75 3.08 32.5%
Over 3.0 4.30 23.3%
Over 3.25 4.75 21.1%
Over 3.5 5.20 19.2%
Over 3.75 6.80 14.7%
Over 4.0 9.90 10.1%
Over 4.5 12.00 8.3%
Under 2.0 1.88 53.2%
Match center
Fakel
W D L W L
16.10 14:30 UTC Cup
Fakel 1:0 UralUral
24.09 16:30 UTC Cup
Fakel 1:1 TekstilshchikTekstilshchik
22.10 13:15 UTC Cup
Fakel 0:1 ZenitZenit
01.10 13:15 UTC Cup
Fakel 1:0 RubinRubin
18.09 13:15 UTC Cup
Fakel 0:2 AkronAkron
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Arsenal Tula
W W D
15.10 16:30 UTC Cup
Arsenal Tula 1:0 FK Sokol Saratov
25.09 17:00 UTC Cup
Arsenal Tula 3:0 Volna Nizhegorodskaya
26.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Arsenal Tula 1:1 Znamya TrudaZnamya Truda
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFakel - Arsenal Tula

Fakel
0 matches total
Arsenal Tula
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history