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Cup
Cup Russia
26.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Krasnodar - FC Orenburg

Russia Football
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
4 : 0
Finished
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg

FC Krasnodar go head-to-head with FC Orenburg on November 26, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Krasnodar 3-1-0, FC Orenburg 1-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards FC Krasnodar, an implied 70% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Krasnodar - FC Orenburg November 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Krasnodar.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.24 / 2 7.99
  • 1X2 market: FC Krasnodar 70.1% / X 18.0% / FC Orenburg 12.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 70.3%
X 18.0%
2 11.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 61.0%
Under 2.5 39.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Market 1 70.3% @ 1.34 / X 18.0% @ 5.24 / 2 11.8% @ 7.99
Match center

FC Krasnodar - FC Orenburg

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.99 market consensus · line only
X 5.24 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.38 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.54 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
1.31 76.3% 1.37 73.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
X 4.85 20.6% 5.44 18.4% 5.35 18.7% 5.49 18.2% 4.84 20.7% 5.49 18.2%
6.60 15.2% 9.15 10.9% 9.00 11.1% 8.27 12.1% 6.66 15.0% 8.27 12.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.34 29.9% 3.38 29.6% 3.36 29.8% 2.89 34.6% 3.36 29.8%
home_away 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.02 98.0% 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.75 1.16 86.2%
Over 2.0 1.21 82.6%
Over 2.25 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 2.75 1.65 60.6%
Over 3.0 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
Over 3.25 2.05 48.8%
Over 3.5 2.42 41.3%
Over 3.75 2.62 38.2%
Over 4.0 3.24 30.9%
Over 4.25 3.54 28.3%
Over 4.5 3.88 25.8%
Under 3.0 1.98 50.5%
Match center
FC Krasnodar
W W D W
05.11 13:00 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 3:1 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
23.10 15:30 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 3:0 FC SochiFC Sochi
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 0:0 DinamoDinamo
17.09 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 2:1 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points
FC Orenburg
L L W D
05.11 13:00 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:3 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
22.10 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:6 ZenitZenit
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:0 AkhmatAkhmat
16.09 13:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:0 RubinRubin
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Krasnodar - FC Orenburg

FC Krasnodar
1 matches total
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Orenburg: 0 (0%)
Biggest win FC Krasnodar 3:1 (05.11 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 05.11 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

05.11 13:00 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar
3:1
FC Orenburg