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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
29.07.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Krasnodar - Krylia Sovetov

Russia Football
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
1 : 2
Finished
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov

FC Krasnodar meet Krylia Sovetov on July 29, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Krasnodar 0-0-3, Krylia Sovetov 0-1-2. The bookmaker line makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at about 63%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Krasnodar - Krylia Sovetov July 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Krasnodar.

Line favourite Fonbet: FC Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.53 / X 4.40 / 2 6.70
  • 1X2 market: FC Krasnodar 63.4% / X 22.1% / Krylia Sovetov 14.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6% 8 books · best price +3.5%
1 60.4%
X 22.4%
2 17.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 55.2%
Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: consensus of 8 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Fonbet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 63.4% @ 1.53 / X 22.1% @ 4.40 / 2 14.5% @ 6.70
Match center

FC Krasnodar - Krylia Sovetov

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.70 Fonbet · line only
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.50 Fonbet · line only
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.61 62.1%
X 4.32 23.2%
5.19 19.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
1.42 70.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.61 62.1% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.32 23.2% 3.57 28.0%
5.40 18.5% 5.55 18.0% 6.70 14.9% 5.70 17.5% 5.19 19.3% 4.84 20.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.98 50.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.43 41.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.43 41.2% 2.41 41.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.41 41.5%
home_away 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
FC Krasnodar
L L L
23.10 18:15 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 1:2 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
02.10 18:15 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 0:3 AkhmatAkhmat
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 0:2 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
0 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.3 Scored
2.3 Conceded
0 Points
Krylia Sovetov
L D L
24.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 3:6 DinamoDinamo
02.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 3:3 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
19.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 1:4 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.3 Scored
4.3 Conceded
1 Points