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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
13.08.2025 13:15 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Orenburg - Akhmat

Russia Football
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
2 : 1
Finished
Akhmat
Akhmat

FC Orenburg meet Akhmat on August 13, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Orenburg 1-0-3, Akhmat 2-0-3. The market favourite is Akhmat at roughly 51%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Orenburg - Akhmat August 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Akhmat.

Line favourite market consensus: Akhmat. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.19 / X 3.62 / 2 1.82
  • 1X2 market: FC Orenburg 22.8% / X 25.9% / Akhmat 51.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6% 7 books · best price +14.5%
1 21.2%
X 25.6%
2 53.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 51.7%
Under 2.5 48.3%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.08.2025 13:15 UTC
Market 1 22.4% @ 4.19 / X 26.0% @ 3.62 / 2 51.6% @ 1.82
Match center

FC Orenburg - Akhmat

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.82 market consensus · line only
X 3.63 market consensus · line only
1 4.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.62 21.7%
X 3.73 26.8%
1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
2.95 33.9% 4.61 21.7% 4.55 22.0% 4.62 21.7% 3.76 26.6% 4.62 21.7%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.87 25.8% 3.74 26.7% 3.73 26.8% 3.24 30.9% 3.73 26.8%
2.05 48.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.11 47.4% 2.01 49.8% 1.94 51.6% 2.09 47.9% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.12 89.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.18 84.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.08 48.1% 2.06 48.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 1.95 51.3%
Match center
FC Orenburg
L W L L
31.07 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:2 RubinRubin
23.10 13:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 2:0 Khimki
01.10 15:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:3 FC RostovFC Rostov
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Akhmat
L L L W W
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Akhmat 1:2 ZenitZenit
15.04 15:00 UTC Cup
Akhmat 1:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
22.10 17:45 UTC Cup
Akhmat 0:1 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
02.10 18:15 UTC Cup
Akhmat 3:0 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Akhmat 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Orenburg - Akhmat

FC Orenburg
0 matches total
Akhmat
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history