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Cup
Cup Russia
05.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Orenburg - FC Krasnodar

Russia Football
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
1 : 3
Finished
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar

FC Orenburg face FC Krasnodar on November 5, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Orenburg 1-1-1, FC Krasnodar 2-1-0. The bookmaker line makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at about 65%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Orenburg - FC Krasnodar November 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Krasnodar.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.35 / X 4.74 / 2 1.43
  • 1X2 market: FC Orenburg 14.9% / X 19.8% / FC Krasnodar 65.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 14.7%
X 19.8%
2 65.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 59.6%
Under 2.5 40.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 14.7% @ 6.35 / X 19.8% @ 4.74 / 2 65.5% @ 1.43
Match center

FC Orenburg - FC Krasnodar

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.43 market consensus · line only
X 4.74 market consensus · line only
1 6.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 2.84 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
4.75 21.1% 7.02 14.3% 6.90 14.5% 6.76 14.8% 6.18 16.2% 6.76 14.8%
X 4.15 24.1% 5.09 19.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.07 19.7% 4.22 23.7% 5.07 19.7%
1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.43 69.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.12 47.2% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.03 97.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.09 91.7%
home_away 1.21 82.6% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.11 90.1% 1.19 84.0% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 2.91 34.4% 2.91 34.4% 2.96 33.8% 2.67 37.5% 2.96 33.8% 2.62 38.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.75 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.0 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.25 1.38 72.5%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.75 1.69 59.2%
Over 3.0 1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.25 2.17 46.1%
Over 3.5 2.47 40.5%
Over 3.75 2.83 35.3%
Over 4.0 3.50 28.6%
Over 4.25 3.85 26.0%
Over 4.5 4.10 24.4%
Under 3.0 1.84 54.4%
Match center
FC Orenburg
L W D
22.10 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:6 ZenitZenit
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:0 AkhmatAkhmat
16.09 13:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:0 RubinRubin
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
FC Krasnodar
W D W
23.10 15:30 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 3:0 FC SochiFC Sochi
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 0:0 DinamoDinamo
17.09 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 2:1 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Orenburg - FC Krasnodar

FC Orenburg
0 matches total
FC Krasnodar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history