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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Orenburg - Rubin

Russia Football
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
0 : 0
Finished
Rubin
Rubin

FC Orenburg take on Rubin on September 16, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Orenburg 2-0-3, Rubin 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Rubin the favourite at about 42%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Orenburg - Rubin September 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rubin.

Line favourite market consensus: Rubin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.36 / 2 2.23
  • 1X2 market: FC Orenburg 30.2% / X 27.9% / Rubin 41.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7% 7 books · best price +2.6%
1 30.3%
X 27.6%
2 42.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 52.9%
Under 2.5 47.1%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Market 1 30.2% @ 3.10 / X 27.9% @ 3.36 / 2 42.0% @ 2.23
Match center

FC Orenburg - Rubin

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 3.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.65 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.18 31.5%
X 3.51 28.5%
2.27 44.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
2.90 34.5% 3.32 30.1% 3.24 30.9% 3.18 31.5% 2.84 35.2% 3.18 31.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.44 29.1% 3.36 29.8% 3.51 28.5% 3.02 33.1% 3.51 28.5%
2.12 47.2% 2.33 42.9% 2.27 44.1% 2.27 44.1% 2.14 46.7% 2.27 44.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.22 45.1% 2.24 44.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.26 44.3% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.61 62.1% 1.59 62.9% 1.59 62.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.31 76.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.31 76.3% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.66 60.2% 1.63 61.4% 1.66 60.2% 1.59 62.9%
Match center
FC Orenburg
L W L W L
26.08 15:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 3:5 ZenitZenit
13.08 13:15 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
31.07 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:2 RubinRubin
23.10 13:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 2:0 Khimki
01.10 15:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Rubin
L L W W L
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:2 AkhmatAkhmat
12.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:3 ZenitZenit
31.07 16:30 UTC Cup
Rubin 2:0 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
23.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Rubin 1:0 AkronAkron
01.10 13:15 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:1 FakelFakel
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Orenburg - Rubin

FC Orenburg
1 matches total
Rubin
FC Orenburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rubin: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Rubin 0:2 (31.07 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 31.07 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

31.07 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg
0:2
Rubin