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Cup
Cup Russia
27.08.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Rostov - Dinamo Makhachkala

Russia Football
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
1 : 3
Finished
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Rostov - Dinamo Makhachkala August 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Rostov.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Rostov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.26 / 2 3.69
  • 1X2 market: FC Rostov 45.7% / X 28.8% / Dinamo Makhachkala 25.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 45.8%
X 28.8%
2 25.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 42.4%
Under 2.5 57.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.08.2025 17:45 UTC
Match center

FC Rostov - Dinamo Makhachkala

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.27 market consensus · line only
1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.06 48.5%
X 3.37 29.7%
3.89 25.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
1.98 50.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.06 48.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.44 29.1% 3.36 29.8% 3.37 29.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.37 29.7%
3.40 29.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.89 25.7% 3.28 30.5% 3.89 25.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%
yes 2.08 48.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.22 82.0% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.17 85.5% 1.26 79.4%
Match center
FC Rostov
L L W W L
14.08 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:2 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
15.05 17:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
30.04 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:0 LokomotivLokomotiv
16.04 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:2 ZenitZenit
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Dinamo Makhachkala
D W L D D
12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
22.10 15:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 0:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
02.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 3:3 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
18.09 18:15 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 2:2 DinamoDinamo
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points