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Cup
Cup Russia
04.03.2026 15:30 UTC Match prediction
04.03.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Rostov - Dinamo Makhachkala

Russia Football
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
0 : 2
Finished
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Rostov - Dinamo Makhachkala March 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Rostov.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Rostov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.02 / 2 3.84
  • 1X2 market: FC Rostov 44.3% / X 31.1% / Dinamo Makhachkala 24.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 44.4%
X 31.1%
2 24.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 37.1%
Under 2.5 62.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.03.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

FC Rostov - Dinamo Makhachkala

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.02 market consensus · line only
1 2.12 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.01 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1% 2.24 44.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.16 46.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 2.98 33.6% 3.03 33.0% 2.80 35.7% 3.03 33.0%
3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.07 24.6% 3.25 30.8% 4.07 24.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.59 62.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.31 43.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75 — 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.0 — 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.25 — 1.27 78.7%
Over 1.5 — 1.44 69.4%
Over 1.75 — 1.59 62.9%
Over 2.0 1.92 52.1% 1.83 54.6%
Over 2.25 — 2.16 46.3%
Over 2.5 — 2.63 38.0%
Over 2.75 — 3.00 33.3%
Over 3.0 — 4.05 24.7%
Over 3.25 — 4.45 22.5%
Over 3.5 — 4.80 20.8%
Over 3.75 — 6.25 16.0%
Over 4.0 — 9.70 10.3%
Over 4.5 — 12.00 8.3%
Under 2.0 1.90 52.6% —
Match center
FC Rostov
W W D W L
26.11 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 3:1 FK Neftekhimik
22.10 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 4:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
02.10 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 1:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
18.09 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
27.08 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 1:3 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Dinamo Makhachkala
L W L D W
26.11 15:00 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:2 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
05.11 15:15 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:0 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
21.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:3 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
02.10 16:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:1 FC RostovFC Rostov
16.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Rostov - Dinamo Makhachkala

FC Rostov
2 matches total
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Rostov: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Dinamo Makhachkala: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Dinamo Makhachkala 1:3 (27.08 17:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 27.08 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (02.10 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

02.10 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov
1:1
Dinamo Makhachkala
27.08 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov
1:3
Dinamo Makhachkala