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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.07.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Rostov - Spartak Moscow

Russia Football
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
0 : 2
Finished
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow

FC Rostov go head-to-head with Spartak Moscow on July 30, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Rostov 2-1-1, Spartak Moscow 3-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at about 46%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Rostov - Spartak Moscow July 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spartak Moscow.

Line favourite Fonbet: Spartak Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / X 3.60 / 2 2.10
  • 1X2 market: FC Rostov 27.5% / X 26.7% / Spartak Moscow 45.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3% 8 books · best price +3.0%
1 28.7%
X 27.3%
2 44.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: consensus of 8 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Fonbet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 27.5% @ 3.50 / X 26.7% @ 3.60 / 2 45.8% @ 2.10
Match center

FC Rostov - Spartak Moscow

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · line only
X 3.60 Fonbet · line only
1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.30 30.3%
X 3.56 28.1%
2.20 45.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
3.15 31.8% 3.48 28.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 2.91 34.4%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.54 28.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.05 32.8%
1.99 50.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.08 48.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.06 48.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.71 58.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
FC Rostov
W W L D
15.05 17:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
30.04 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:0 LokomotivLokomotiv
16.04 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:2 ZenitZenit
02.10 13:15 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:2 Khimki
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Spartak Moscow
L W W W
15.05 17:00 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
29.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 2:1 DinamoDinamo
15.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 3:0 UralUral
22.10 15:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:0 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Rostov - Spartak Moscow

FC Rostov
1 matches total
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Spartak Moscow: 0 (0%)
Biggest win FC Rostov 2:1 (15.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 15.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

15.05 17:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov
2:1
Spartak Moskva