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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
19.08.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FK Spartak Tambov - Metallurg Lipetsk

Russia Football
FK Spartak Tambov
FK Spartak Tambov
2 : 1
Finished
Metallurg Lipetsk
Metallurg Lipetsk

FK Spartak Tambov face Metallurg Lipetsk on August 19, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

The bookmaker line makes Metallurg Lipetsk the favourite at about 40%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Spartak Tambov - Metallurg Lipetsk August 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Metallurg Lipetsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Metallurg Lipetsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.85 / X 3.30 / 2 2.30
  • 1X2 market: FK Spartak Tambov 32.2% / X 27.8% / Metallurg Lipetsk 39.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9% 5 books · best price +1.7%
1 32.2%
X 28.3%
2 39.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.3%
Over 2.5 45.7%
Under 2.5 54.3%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (1xBet, Fonbet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.08.2025 16:15 UTC
Market 1 32.2% @ 2.85 / X 27.8% @ 3.30 / 2 39.9% @ 2.30
Match center

FK Spartak Tambov - Metallurg Lipetsk

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.30 Fonbet · line only
X 3.30 Fonbet · line only
1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.71 36.9%
X 3.08 32.5%
2.43 41.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
3.06 32.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.88 34.7% 2.71 36.9% 2.71 36.9%
X 3.46 28.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.08 32.5% 3.08 32.5%
2.47 40.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.43 41.2% 2.43 41.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5% 2.11 47.4%
yes 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.43 69.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.61 62.1% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.56 64.1%