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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.09.2025 11:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Irkutsk - Chelyabinsk

Russia Football
Irkutsk
Irkutsk
2 : 3
Finished
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk

Irkutsk face Chelyabinsk on September 25, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Irkutsk 3-0-0, Chelyabinsk 1-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Chelyabinsk the favourite at about 66%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Irkutsk - Chelyabinsk September 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelyabinsk.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelyabinsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.18 / X 3.84 / 2 1.42
  • 1X2 market: Irkutsk 10.2% / X 24.2% / Chelyabinsk 65.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0% 4 books · best price +9.4%
1 9.8%
X 24.5%
2 65.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (1xBet, Marathonbet, SStats Consensus, Superbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2025 11:00 UTC
Market 1 10.1% @ 9.18 / X 24.3% @ 3.84 / 2 65.6% @ 1.42
Match center

Irkutsk - Chelyabinsk

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 9.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.03 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 2.69 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.66 market consensus · line only
1 -1 10.00 market consensus · line only
1 +1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
9.70 10.3%
X 3.74 26.7%
1.39 71.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SStats Consensus Superbet
9.60 10.4% 9.70 10.3% 9.70 10.3% 7.70 13.0%
X 3.88 25.8% 3.74 26.7% 3.74 26.7% 4.00 25.0%
1.52 65.8% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.38 72.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.55 64.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.28 43.9% 2.38 42.0% 2.32 43.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 2.73 36.6% 2.71 36.9% 2.71 36.9% 2.62 38.2%
Match center
Irkutsk
W W W
11.09 09:00 UTC Cup
Irkutsk 3:0 KDVKDV
21.08 09:30 UTC Cup
Irkutsk 2:0 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
07.08 10:30 UTC Cup
Irkutsk 8:0 BuryatiaBuryatia
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.3 Scored
0.0 Conceded
9 Points
Chelyabinsk
L W
24.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Chelyabinsk 0:2 TyumenTyumen
04.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Chelyabinsk 1:0 Chertanovo MoscowChertanovo Moscow
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIrkutsk - Chelyabinsk

Irkutsk
0 matches total
Chelyabinsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history