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Cup
Cup Russia
04.03.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Krylia Sovetov - FC Orenburg

Russia Football
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 0
Finished
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krylia Sovetov - FC Orenburg March 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krylia Sovetov.

Line favourite market consensus: Krylia Sovetov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.43 / 2 2.75
  • 1X2 market: Krylia Sovetov 38.4% / X 27.4% / FC Orenburg 34.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 38.5%
X 27.4%
2 34.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.03.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Krylia Sovetov - FC Orenburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 2.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
2.33 42.9% 2.56 39.1% 2.43 41.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.53 28.3% 3.36 29.8% 3.54 28.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.54 28.3%
2.61 38.3% 2.89 34.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.81 35.6% 2.62 38.2% 2.81 35.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.11 47.4% 2.13 47.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.64 61.0% 1.64 61.0% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.58 63.3% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.47 68.0% 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.46 68.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.0 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.25 1.59 62.9%
Over 2.5 1.86 53.8% 1.91 52.4%
Over 2.75 2.01 49.8%
Over 3.0 2.38 42.0%
Over 3.25 2.69 37.2%
Over 3.5 2.94 34.0%
Over 3.75 3.58 27.9%
Over 4.0 5.00 20.0%
Over 4.25 5.35 18.7%
Under 2.5 1.96 51.0%
Match center
Krylia Sovetov
D L D L D
27.11 15:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 1:1 KAMAZKAMAZ
22.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 0:4 DinamoDinamo
01.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 3:3 FC SochiFC Sochi
17.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 1:2 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
27.08 13:15 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 0:0 DinamoDinamo
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
FC Orenburg
L L L W D
26.11 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:4 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
05.11 13:00 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:3 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
22.10 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:6 ZenitZenit
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:0 AkhmatAkhmat
16.09 13:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:0 RubinRubin
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points