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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Lokomotiv - CSKA Moscow

Russia Football
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
0 : 0
Finished
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow

Lokomotiv meet CSKA Moscow on October 1, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lokomotiv 2-0-2, CSKA Moscow 2-2-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards CSKA Moscow, an implied 37% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lokomotiv - CSKA Moscow October 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CSKA Moscow.

Line favourite market consensus: CSKA Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 3.47 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: Lokomotiv 36.3% / X 27.0% / CSKA Moscow 36.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7% 7 books · best price +2.7%
1 36.3%
X 27.2%
2 36.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 54.4%
Under 2.5 45.6%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Market 1 36.3% @ 2.58 / X 27.0% @ 3.47 / 2 36.7% @ 2.55
Match center

Lokomotiv - CSKA Moscow

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.56 market consensus · line only
X 3.47 market consensus · line only
1 2.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.24 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.67 37.5%
X 3.51 28.5%
2.64 37.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
2.56 39.1% 2.66 37.6% 2.59 38.6% 2.67 37.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.67 37.5%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.67 27.3% 3.58 27.9% 3.51 28.5% 3.14 31.9% 3.51 28.5%
2.28 43.9% 2.69 37.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.64 37.9% 2.45 40.8% 2.64 37.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.13 47.0% 2.24 44.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.66 60.2% 1.59 62.9% 1.59 62.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.54 64.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.45 69.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.51 66.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.51 66.2% 1.46 68.5%
Match center
Lokomotiv
W W L L
16.09 15:45 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 3:1 AkronAkron
13.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:0 BaltikaBaltika
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 1:2 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
30.04 15:00 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 0:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
CSKA Moscow
D D W W
18.09 15:30 UTC Cup
CSKA Moscow 1:1 BaltikaBaltika
12.08 13:15 UTC Cup
CSKA Moscow 1:1 AkronAkron
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
CSKA Moscow 2:1 LokomotivLokomotiv
14.05 16:30 UTC Cup
CSKA Moscow 2:0 ZenitZenit
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLokomotiv - CSKA Moscow

Lokomotiv
1 matches total
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
CSKA Moscow: 1 (100%)
Biggest win CSKA Moscow 1:2 (30.07 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 30.07 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv
1:2
CSKA Moscow