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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.09.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Nizhny Novgorod - Dinamo Makhachkala

Russia Football
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 2
Finished
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala

Nizhny Novgorod face Dinamo Makhachkala on September 16, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nizhny Novgorod 2-0-3, Dinamo Makhachkala 2-2-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Nizhny Novgorod at roughly 36%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Dinamo Makhachkala September 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nizhny Novgorod.

Line favourite market consensus: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.23 / 2 2.70
  • 1X2 market: Nizhny Novgorod 36.4% / X 29.0% / Dinamo Makhachkala 34.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6% 7 books · best price +2.7%
1 36.3%
X 29.0%
2 34.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 41.1%
Under 2.5 58.9%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.09.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 36.4% @ 2.57 / X 29.0% @ 3.23 / 2 34.6% @ 2.70
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Dinamo Makhachkala

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 2.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.63 38.0%
X 3.47 28.8%
2.70 37.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
2.44 41.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.64 37.9% 2.63 38.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.63 38.0%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.38 29.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.47 28.8% 2.86 35.0% 3.47 28.8%
2.65 37.7% 2.82 35.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.74 57.5%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1% 2.05 48.8% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0%
home_away 1.37 73.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
L W L W L
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:4 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
14.08 16:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:0 FC RostovFC Rostov
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
23.10 18:15 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 2:1 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
01.10 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:2 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Dinamo Makhachkala
W D W D
27.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 3:1 FC RostovFC Rostov
12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
02.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 3:3 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Dinamo Makhachkala

Nizhny Novgorod
1 matches total
Dinamo Makhachkala
Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Dinamo Makhachkala: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Dinamo Makhachkala 0:1 (30.07 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 30.07 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
0:1
Dinamo Makhachkala