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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.10.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow

Russia Football
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 2
Finished
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow

Nizhny Novgorod go head-to-head with Spartak Moscow on October 1, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nizhny Novgorod 2-0-2, Spartak Moscow 1-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at about 63%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow October 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spartak Moscow.

Line favourite market consensus: Spartak Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.16 / X 4.27 / 2 1.48
  • 1X2 market: Nizhny Novgorod 15.2% / X 21.9% / Spartak Moscow 62.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7% 7 books · best price +3.3%
1 15.0%
X 21.8%
2 63.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2025 15:00 UTC
Market 1 15.1% @ 6.16 / X 21.8% @ 4.27 / 2 63.0% @ 1.48
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.49 market consensus · line only
X 4.28 market consensus · line only
1 6.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 2.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.64 15.1%
X 4.37 22.9%
1.50 66.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
5.50 18.2% 6.51 15.4% 6.35 15.8% 6.64 15.1% 5.70 17.5% 6.64 15.1%
X 4.15 24.1% 4.51 22.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.37 22.9% 3.82 26.2% 4.37 22.9%
1.43 69.9% 1.55 64.5% 1.51 66.2% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.86 53.8% 1.76 56.8%
yes 1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.04 96.2% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9%
home_away 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 2.63 38.0% 2.61 38.3% 2.67 37.5% 2.43 41.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
L L W W
16.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:2 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:4 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
14.08 16:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:0 FC RostovFC Rostov
23.10 18:15 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 2:1 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Spartak Moscow
L W D
18.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 4:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow

Nizhny Novgorod
1 matches total
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Spartak Moscow: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Spartak Moskva 0:4 (26.08 17:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 26.08 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
0:4
Spartak Moskva