Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Rodina Moskva - Chelyabinsk

Russia Football
Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva
0 : 0
Finished
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk

Rodina Moskva face Chelyabinsk on October 15, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rodina Moskva 2-0-1, Chelyabinsk 2-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Rodina Moskva, an implied 43% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rodina Moskva - Chelyabinsk October 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rodina Moskva.

Line favourite market consensus: Rodina Moskva. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.21 / 2 3.18
  • 1X2 market: Rodina Moskva 42.5% / X 28.6% / Chelyabinsk 28.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 42.5%
X 28.6%
2 28.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Under 2.5 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 15.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Market 1 42.5% @ 2.16 / X 28.6% @ 3.21 / 2 28.9% @ 3.18
Match center

Rodina Moskva - Chelyabinsk

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.18 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 2.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.01 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.16 46.3%
X 3.22 31.1%
3.18 31.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
2.30 43.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.16 46.3%
X 3.43 29.2% 3.22 31.1% 3.23 31.0% 2.96 33.8% 3.22 31.1%
3.39 29.5% 3.18 31.5% 3.14 31.9% 3.02 33.1% 3.18 31.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.69 59.2% 1.61 62.1% 1.54 64.9% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Rodina Moskva
W L W
24.09 09:00 UTC Cup
Rodina Moskva 3:0 Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk
16.10 14:00 UTC Cup
Rodina Moskva 1:2 Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
25.09 13:00 UTC Cup
Rodina Moskva 3:0 Mashuk-KMVMashuk-KMV
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
6 Points
Chelyabinsk
W L W
25.09 11:00 UTC Cup
Chelyabinsk 3:2 IrkutskIrkutsk
24.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Chelyabinsk 0:2 TyumenTyumen
04.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Chelyabinsk 1:0 Chertanovo MoscowChertanovo Moscow
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points