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Cup
Cup Russia
31.07.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
31.07.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Rubin - FC Orenburg

Russia Football
Rubin
Rubin
2 : 0
Finished
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg

Rubin take on FC Orenburg on July 31, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rubin 1-0-2, FC Orenburg 1-0-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Rubin, an implied 65% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rubin - FC Orenburg July 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rubin.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rubin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / X 5.00 / 2 6.30
  • 1X2 market: Rubin 65.0% / X 19.5% / FC Orenburg 15.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5% 8 books · best price +11.4%
1 64.3%
X 19.8%
2 15.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 61.3%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: consensus of 8 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Fonbet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 65.0% @ 1.50 / X 19.5% @ 5.00 / 2 15.5% @ 6.30
Match center

Rubin - FC Orenburg

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.30 Fonbet · line only
X 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.60 Fonbet · line only
12 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.49 67.1%
X 4.85 20.6%
6.02 16.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
1.66 60.2% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.39 71.9%
X 3.70 27.0% 5.02 19.9% 5.00 20.0% 4.85 20.6% 4.85 20.6% 4.14 24.2%
4.00 25.0% 6.15 16.3% 6.30 15.9% 6.10 16.4% 6.02 16.6% 5.32 18.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.04 49.0% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.73 36.6% 2.60 38.5% 2.71 36.9% 2.63 38.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.63 38.0%
home_away 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.16 86.2% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Rubin
W L L
23.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Rubin 1:0 AkronAkron
01.10 13:15 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:1 FakelFakel
17.09 17:00 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:2 ZenitZenit
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
FC Orenburg
W L L
23.10 13:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 2:0 Khimki
01.10 15:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:3 FC RostovFC Rostov
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRubin - FC Orenburg

Rubin
0 matches total
FC Orenburg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history