Cup
Cup Russia
30.09.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Rubin - Zenit

Russia Futbol
Rubin
Rubin
0 : 1
Finished
Zenit
Zenit

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rubin - Zenit 30 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zenit.

Line favourite market consensus: Zenit. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.70 / X 3.42 / 2 1.97
  • 1X2 market: Rubin 25.3% / X 27.4% / Zenit 47.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 25.3%
X 27.3%
2 47.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 45.8%
Under 2.5 54.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.09.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Rubin - Zenit

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 3.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.83 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.90 25.6%
Х 3.53 28.3%
П2 2.00 50.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
П1 3.55 28.2% 3.82 26.2% 3.72 26.9% 3.90 25.6% 3.48 28.7% 3.90 25.6%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.63 27.6% 3.54 28.3% 3.53 28.3% 2.99 33.4% 3.53 28.3%
П2 1.86 53.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.94 51.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.27 78.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.72 58.1%
Match center
Rubin
D L L W W
16.09 13:30 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:0 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:2 AkhmatAkhmat
12.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Rubin 0:3 ZenitZenit
31.07 16:30 UTC Cup
Rubin 2:0 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
23.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Rubin 1:0 AkronAkron
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Zenit
W W W W L
17.09 17:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
26.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 5:3 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
12.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 3:0 RubinRubin
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
14.05 16:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 0:2 ЦСКА МоскваЦСКА Москва
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRubin - Zenit

Rubin
2 matches total
Zenit
Rubin: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Zenit: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Zenit 0:3 (12.08 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 12.08 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 0

Match history

12.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Rubin
0:3
Zenit
17.09 17:00 UTC Cup
Rubin
0:2
Zenit