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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
18.09.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Spartak Moscow - FC Rostov

Russia Football
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
1 : 2
Finished
FC Rostov
FC Rostov

Spartak Moscow go head-to-head with FC Rostov on September 18, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Spartak Moscow 3-1-0, FC Rostov 1-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Spartak Moscow, an implied 63% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spartak Moscow - FC Rostov September 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spartak Moscow.

Line favourite market consensus: Spartak Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.44 / 2 5.83
  • 1X2 market: Spartak Moscow 62.9% / X 21.1% / FC Rostov 16.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3% 8 books · best price +1.7%
1 63.0%
X 20.9%
2 16.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 58.1%
Under 2.5 41.9%

Odds source: consensus of 8 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Dafabet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 63.0% @ 1.48 / X 21.0% @ 4.44 / 2 16.0% @ 5.83
Match center

Spartak Moscow - FC Rostov

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.84 market consensus · line only
X 4.48 market consensus · line only
1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.50 66.7%
X 4.76 21.0%
5.90 17.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
1.47 68.0% 1.51 66.2% 1.46 68.5% 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.43 69.9%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.77 21.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.65 21.5% 4.76 21.0% 3.93 25.5%
5.10 19.6% 6.77 14.8% 5.80 17.2% 6.60 15.2% 5.90 17.0% 5.13 19.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.04 49.0% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 2.76 36.2% 2.74 36.5% 2.68 37.3% 2.35 42.6% 2.68 37.3% 2.42 41.3%
home_away 1.23 81.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.07 93.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Spartak Moscow
W D W W
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 4:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 2:0 FC RostovFC Rostov
29.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 2:1 DinamoDinamo
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points
FC Rostov
L L L W
27.08 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 1:3 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
14.08 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:2 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
30.04 15:00 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:0 LokomotivLokomotiv
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySpartak Moscow - FC Rostov

Spartak Moscow
2 matches total
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Rostov: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Spartak Moskva 2:0 (30.07 17:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 15.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moskva
2:0
FC Rostov
15.05 17:00 UTC Cup
Spartak Moskva
1:2
FC Rostov