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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Spartak Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod

Russia Football
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
4 : 0
Finished
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod

Spartak Moscow go head-to-head with Nizhny Novgorod on August 26, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Spartak Moscow 3-1-0, Nizhny Novgorod 2-0-3. Sportsbooks lean towards Spartak Moscow, an implied 73% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spartak Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod August 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spartak Moscow.

Line favourite market consensus: Spartak Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.52 / 2 9.29
  • 1X2 market: Spartak Moscow 72.8% / X 17.1% / Nizhny Novgorod 10.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6% 6 books · best price +3.1%
1 73.6%
X 16.7%
2 9.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 72.9% @ 1.29 / X 17.0% @ 5.52 / 2 10.1% @ 9.29
Match center

Spartak Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.56 market consensus · line only
1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 8.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.81 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.81 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.29 77.5%
X 5.83 17.2%
10.16 9.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
1.27 78.7% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.29 77.5%
X 4.90 20.4% 5.89 17.0% 5.70 17.5% 5.83 17.2% 4.94 20.2% 5.83 17.2%
7.80 12.8% 10.10 9.9% 9.80 10.2% 10.16 9.8% 7.72 13.0% 10.16 9.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.12 47.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.64 27.5% 3.62 27.6% 3.74 26.7% 3.26 30.7% 3.74 26.7%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.00 100.0% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Spartak Moscow
D W W W
12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 1:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 2:0 FC RostovFC Rostov
29.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 2:1 DinamoDinamo
15.04 17:30 UTC Cup
Spartak Moscow 3:0 UralUral
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points
Nizhny Novgorod
W L W L L
14.08 16:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:0 FC RostovFC Rostov
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
23.10 18:15 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 2:1 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
01.10 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:2 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:2 AkhmatAkhmat
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points