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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.08.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Volgar Astrakhan - Chertanovo Moscow

Russia Football
Volgar Astrakhan
Volgar Astrakhan
2 : 1
Finished
Chertanovo Moscow
Chertanovo Moscow

Volgar Astrakhan take on Chertanovo Moscow on August 20, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Volgar Astrakhan 1-1-0, Chertanovo Moscow 0-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Volgar Astrakhan, an implied 66% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volgar Astrakhan - Chertanovo Moscow August 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Volgar Astrakhan.

Line favourite Fonbet: Volgar Astrakhan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / X 4.50 / 2 6.70
  • 1X2 market: Volgar Astrakhan 65.8% / X 20.5% / Chertanovo Moscow 13.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0% 5 books · best price +5.7%
1 65.4%
X 20.4%
2 14.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.3%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (1xBet, Fonbet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.08.2025 16:15 UTC
Market 1 65.8% @ 1.40 / X 20.5% @ 4.50 / 2 13.7% @ 6.70
Match center

Volgar Astrakhan - Chertanovo Moscow

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.70 Fonbet · line only
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.75 Fonbet · line only
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.13 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.39 71.9%
X 4.36 22.9%
6.37 15.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.48 67.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9%
X 5.14 19.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3% 4.36 22.9% 4.36 22.9%
6.73 14.9% 6.70 14.9% 6.15 16.3% 6.37 15.7% 6.37 15.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.66 60.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.64 61.0% 2.09 47.9%
yes 2.07 48.3% 1.90 52.6% 2.07 48.3% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.87 34.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.67 37.5% 3.01 33.2% 3.01 33.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Volgar Astrakhan
D W
25.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Volgar Astrakhan 1:1 FC UFAFC UFA
04.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Volgar Astrakhan 2:1 AstrakhanAstrakhan
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Chertanovo Moscow
L
04.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Chertanovo Moscow 0:1 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points