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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.09.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Zenit - Akhmat

Russia Football
Zenit
Zenit
2 : 1
Finished
Akhmat
Akhmat

Zenit take on Akhmat on September 17, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Zenit 3-0-1, Akhmat 1-0-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Zenit the favourite at about 64%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zenit - Akhmat September 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zenit.

Line favourite market consensus: Zenit. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.23 / 2 6.75
  • 1X2 market: Zenit 64.1% / X 22.0% / Akhmat 13.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4% 8 books · best price +2.7%
1 64.7%
X 21.7%
2 13.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 49.6%
Under 2.5 50.4%

Odds source: consensus of 8 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Dafabet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.09.2025 17:30 UTC
Market 1 64.2% @ 1.45 / X 22.0% @ 4.23 / 2 13.8% @ 6.75
Match center

Zenit - Akhmat

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.81 market consensus · line only
X 4.26 market consensus · line only
1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.46 68.5%
X 4.45 22.5%
7.30 13.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
1.43 69.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.38 72.5%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.56 21.9% 3.90 25.6% 4.45 22.5% 4.45 22.5% 3.84 26.0%
5.80 17.2% 7.48 13.4% 6.20 16.1% 7.30 13.7% 7.30 13.7% 6.18 16.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.69 59.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.63 61.4% 1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.09 47.9% 2.02 49.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.02 49.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.79 35.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.78 36.0% 2.82 35.5% 2.51 39.8% 2.82 35.5%
home_away 1.24 80.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.03 97.1% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Zenit
W W W L
26.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 5:3 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
12.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 3:0 RubinRubin
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
14.05 16:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 0:2 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
9 Points
Akhmat
W L L L L
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Akhmat 2:0 RubinRubin
13.08 13:15 UTC Cup
Akhmat 1:2 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Akhmat 1:2 ZenitZenit
15.04 15:00 UTC Cup
Akhmat 1:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
22.10 17:45 UTC Cup
Akhmat 0:1 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZenit - Akhmat

Zenit
1 matches total
Akhmat
Zenit: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Akhmat: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Zenit 2:1 (30.07 17:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 30.07 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Zenit
2:1
Akhmat