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Cup
Cup Russia
22.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Zenit - FC Orenburg

Russia Football
Zenit
Zenit
6 : 0
Finished
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg

Zenit go head-to-head with FC Orenburg on October 22, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Zenit 3-0-0, FC Orenburg 1-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Zenit at roughly 76%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zenit - FC Orenburg October 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zenit.

Line favourite market consensus: Zenit. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 6.13 / 2 10.85
  • 1X2 market: Zenit 75.9% / X 15.3% / FC Orenburg 8.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 76.1%
X 15.3%
2 8.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.7%
Over 2.5 65.9%
Under 2.5 34.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Market 1 76.1% @ 1.23 / X 15.3% @ 6.13 / 2 8.6% @ 10.85
Match center

Zenit - FC Orenburg

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.90 market consensus · line only
X 6.13 market consensus · line only
1 1.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.90 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 8.30 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3%
X 6.10 16.4% 6.30 15.9% 6.40 15.6% 6.20 16.1% 6.24 16.0% 5.42 18.5%
9.50 10.5% 13.20 7.6% 11.00 9.1% 13.00 7.7% 11.44 8.7% 7.91 12.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 4.16 24.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.22 23.7% 4.22 23.7% 3.70 27.0%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.09 91.7%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.75 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.0 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.25 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.75 1.49 67.1%
Over 3.0 1.63 61.4%
Over 3.25 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
Over 3.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 3.75 2.32 43.1%
Over 4.0 2.75 36.4%
Over 4.25 3.04 32.9%
Over 4.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 4.75 3.98 25.1%
Under 3.25 1.96 51.0%
Match center
Zenit
W W W
30.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Zenit 1:0 RubinRubin
17.09 17:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
26.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 5:3 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
9 Points
FC Orenburg
W D L
30.09 17:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 1:0 AkhmatAkhmat
16.09 13:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 0:0 RubinRubin
26.08 15:30 UTC Cup
FC Orenburg 3:5 ZenitZenit
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZenit - FC Orenburg

Zenit
1 matches total
FC Orenburg
Zenit: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Orenburg: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Zenit 5:3 (26.08 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 8 goals (5:3, 26.08 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 5

Match history

26.08 15:30 UTC Cup
Zenit
5:3
FC Orenburg