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Czech Republic. League 2
Czech Republic. League 2
31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Czech Republic. League 2

Karvina - Sellier and Bellot Vlasim

Football
Karvina
Karvina
0 : 0
Finished
S
Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Karvina56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Karvina): model 35% · market 54% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Karvina55.6%
X · draw22.0%
2 · Sellier and Bellot Vlasim22.4%

Model estimate: win Karvina 55.6%, draw 22.0%, win Sellier and Bellot Vlasim 22.4%. Model favourite — Karvina.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Karvina (odds1.73) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Karvina: probability 53% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.73)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Karvina - Sellier and Bellot Vlasim July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Karvina.

Line favourite Fonbet: Karvina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 1.32 / 2 12.00
  • Glicko: Karvina 55.6% / X 22.0% / Sellier and Bellot Vlasim 22.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 83.1%
1 54.1%
X 41.4%
2 4.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

FNL
League table
Karvina
#150 ptsGP 10-0-10:2
ARRAY
Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
#61 ptsGP 10-1-02:2
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 1.80 SBO
X 4.21 Pinnacle
2 4.50 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Karvina
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.39 xG 1.55 xGA 1.23
Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.42 Conceded 1.13 xG 1.40 xGA 1.46

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Karvina
Rating 1518 xG 1.49 Win 46%
Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
Rating 1515 xG 1.12 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Karvina 2 : 2 Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
11.60
X4.00
24.42

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 54.1% @ 1.01 / X 41.4% @ 1.32 / 2 4.6% @ 12.00
Match center

Karvina - Sellier and Bellot Vlasim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Karvina 56.9% 55.6% market and model agree
Draw 22.0% 22.0% draw risk
Sellier and Bellot Vlasim 21.1% 22.4%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.6% / 22.0% / 22.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,342 / 1,519 Karvina / Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 760-1,924 / 937-2,101 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.32 market consensus · no value · model 22.4%
X 1.32 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 55.6%
Double chance
12 3.00 Fonbet · weak value +133.9% · model 78.0%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 77.6%
X2 2.12 market consensus · no value · model 44.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.03 97.1% 2.08 48.1%
yes 9.00 11.1% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 3.00 33.3%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 12.00 8.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.09 47.9%
X 2.40 41.7%
4.89 20.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 1.5 1.55 64.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1, avg 4.0 gls
2022-11-13 · Karvina 1:2 Sele i Bello Vlashim
2022-08-05 · Karvina 3:2 Sele i Bello Vlashim
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.84 (Winline) · X 4 (Betcity) · 2 4.1 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.7 3.8 4.1
Winline 1.84 3.6 3.6
Fonbet 1.7 3.8 4.1
Betcity 1.73 4 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Karvina
L W W W L
2026-07-27 FNL 26/27
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Karvina Wisla Krakow 2:0 Karvina
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
D W L L L
2026-07-26 FNL 26/27
Banik Ostrava 2 2:2 Sellier and Bellot Vlasim Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
2026-07-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Slavia Prague 1:2 Sellier and Bellot Vlasim Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
2026-06-26 Club Friendly Games 2026
Jablonec 2:1 Sellier and Bellot Vlasim Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
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Sellier and Bellot Vlasim 2:3 Dukla Prague Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
2026-05-23 FNL 25/26
Slavia 2 Prague 3:2 Sellier and Bellot Vlasim Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points