Czech Republic. League 2
Karvina - Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Karvina — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Karvina): model 35% · market 54% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Karvina 55.6%, draw 22.0%, win Sellier and Bellot Vlasim 22.4%. Model favourite — Karvina.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Karvina: probability 53% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.73)
- • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Karvina - Sellier and Bellot Vlasim July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Karvina.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 1.32 / 2 12.00
- Glicko: Karvina 55.6% / X 22.0% / Sellier and Bellot Vlasim 22.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
FNLHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Karvina - Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.03 97.1% | 2.08 48.1% |
| yes | 9.00 11.1% | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 1x | 1.16 86.2% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.14 46.7% | 12.00 8.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.09 47.9% | |
| X | 2.40 41.7% |
| 4.89 20.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.7 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Winline | 1.84 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Fonbet | 1.7 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Betcity | 1.73 | 4 | 4 |
Karvina
Full head-to-head historyKarvina - Sellier and Bellot Vlasim
Match history
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The Karvina - Sellier and Bellot Vlasim breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form