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Hobro — Aalborg

Football 21.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Favourite Hobro best odds 2.34 Hobro — Winning streak 3

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Denmark: First Division
Denmark: First Division
21.08.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form ✓H2H –Prediction
21.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Denmark: First Division

Hobro vs Aalborg — Football prediction

Football
Hobro
Hobro
1 : 0
Finished
Aalborg
Aalborg

Hobro take on Aalborg on August 21, 2026 in the Denmark: First Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hobro 3-0-2, Aalborg 3-1-1. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Double chance — Hobro or draw 1.01

Model confidence 75% ~81% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hobro - Aalborg August 21, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hobro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / X 4.90 / 2 2.81

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6% 3 books
1 39.3%
X 28.1%
2 32.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

1. Division
League table
Hobro
#212 ptsGP 54-0-18:5
Aalborg
#67 ptsGP 52-1-25:7
Best price across 14 books
1 2.52 10Bet
X 3.61 Pinnacle
2 2.90 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Hobro
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.27 xG 1.49 xGA 1.33
Aalborg
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.91 Conceded 1.56 xG 1.60 xGA 1.48

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Hobro
Rating 1579
Aalborg
Rating 1547

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Hobro
39%
2.34
Draw
28%
4.90
Aalborg
33%
40.00
Handicap
Hobro (0.5)
51%
1.48
Aalborg (0.5)
49%
1.55
Total
Over 9.5
52%
1.75
Under 9.5
48%
1.90
Both teams to score
Yes
42%
5.10
No
58%
2.17

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

HobroAalborg
  • 2' Goal Aalborg
  • 4' Red card Aalborg
  • 8' Goal Hobro
  • 8' Goal Hobro
  • 13' Goal Hobro
  • 23' Goal Hobro
  • 34' Goal Hobro
  • 36' Goal Aalborg
  • 37' Goal Hobro
  • 52' Goal Hobro
  • 54' Goal Hobro
  • 55' Goal Hobro
  • 59' Goal Hobro
  • 61' Goal Hobro
  • 62' Goal Hobro
  • 64' Goal Hobro
  • 65' Goal Hobro
  • 66' Yellow card Hobro
  • 67' Goal Hobro
  • 69' Yellow card Aalborg
  • 73' Goal Hobro
  • 75' Yellow card Hobro
  • 79' Goal Hobro
  • 80' Goal Aalborg
  • 83' Goal Aalborg
  • 84' Goal Hobro
  • 84' Yellow card Aalborg
  • 85' Goal Hobro
  • 85' Goal Hobro
  • 88' Goal Aalborg
  • 90' Goal Hobro
  • 90' Goal Aalborg
  • 90' Goal Hobro
  • 90' Goal Aalborg
  • 90' Goal Aalborg

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hobro 2 : 1 Aalborg
12.33
X3.44
22.83

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated19.08.2026 02:11 UTC
1 22%
X 31%
2 47% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2 and BTTS-Yes
Per AI data Form:WLLDL / LWWWW H2H: 1-1 Injuries:Mathias Haarup (Hobro); Benjamin Tiedemann, Nicklas Helenius (Aalborg) Key:Aalborg high attacking volume vs build-up errors
AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 22% 31% 47% 1:2 Over 2.5 Yes X2 and BTTS-Yes

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Match center
Start 21.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 60.6% @ 1.16 / X 14.4% @ 4.90 / 2 25.0% @ 2.81
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Match center

Hobro - Aalborg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 38.7% fact: home hit / ROI 134.0% / Brier 0.565 / LogLoss 0.949
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 38.7% fact: home hit / ROI 134.0% / Brier 0.565 / LogLoss 0.949
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 market consensus · line only
X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.12 89.3% 2.17 46.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.17 46.1%
yes 5.10 19.6% 4.25 23.5% 4.25 23.5% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
x2 4.30 23.3% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.88 34.7%
X 2.24 44.6%
3.26 30.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.46 40.7%
Under 1.5 1.44 69.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-2-2, avg 2.56 gls
2026-08-21 · Khobro IK 2:1 Olborg
2026-05-01 · Khobro IK 1:1 Olborg
2026-04-10 · Khobro IK 0:1 Olborg
2026-03-14 · Khobro IK 1:0 Olborg
2025-08-01 · Khobro IK 1:1 Olborg
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.7 (Winline) · X 3.5 (Betcity) · 2 2.48 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.5 3.45 2.45
Winline 2.7 3.4 2.34
Fonbet 2.5 3.45 2.45
Betcity 2.55 3.5 2.48
Liga Stavok 2.55 3.35 2.47
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Hobro
W W L W L
2026-08-15 1. Division 26/27
Hobro Esbjerg 1:2 Hobro
2026-08-08 1. Division 26/27
Hobro Hobro 1:0 AB Gladsaxe
2026-08-05 DBU Pokalen 26/27
Hobro Hobro 0:4 Vendsyssel FF
2026-08-02 1. Division 26/27
Hobro Vendsyssel FF 1:2 Hobro
2026-07-26 1. Division 26/27
Hobro Hobro 1:2 Aarhus Fremad
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Aalborg
L D W W W
2026-08-14 1. Division 26/27
Aalborg 0:3 Fredericia Aalborg
2026-08-09 1. Division 26/27
Aalborg 1:1 Kolding IF Aalborg
2026-08-04 DBU Pokalen 26/27
Holstebro 1:3 Aalborg Aalborg
2026-07-31 1. Division 26/27
Aarhus Fremad 1:2 Aalborg Aalborg
2026-07-24 1. Division 26/27
Aalborg 1:0 Hillerod Aalborg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Hobro - Aalborg

Hobro
3 matches total
Aalborg
Hobro: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Aalborg: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Aalborg 0:1 (2026-04-10) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 2026-05-01) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (2026-05-01) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

2026-05-01 1. Division 26/27
Aalborg 1:1 Hobro
2026-04-10 1. Division 26/27
Hobro 0:1 Aalborg
2026-03-14 1. Division 26/27
Hobro 1:0 Aalborg

Recent form

Hobro WWWLWL
Aalborg LLDWWW

Standings

# PWDL+/-Pts
1Vejle5410613
2Hobro5401312
3Hvidovre4310410
4Fredericia523069
5Aarhus Fremad522128
6Aalborg5212-27
7Gladsaxe412125
8Vendsyssel5122-35
9Esbjerg5113-34
10Kolding IF4022-22
11Hillerod5014-41
12HB Koege4004-90

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Team form & streaks

Hobro WWWLWL
Winning streak: 3
Aalborg LLDWWW

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Standings around this match 1. Division

# PWDL+/-Pts
2Hobro IK5401312
6Aalborg BK5212-27

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 5 Stadium: DS Arena, Hobro Local derby

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

More predictions

Hobro –Vidovre IF 04.09 Vejle – Vendsyssel FF 04.09 Koge – Hillerod 04.09 Besiktas – Corum 01.09 Novara – Folgore Caratese 01.09 West Ham – Wolverhampton 01.09

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Hobro vs Aalborg?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Hobro. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Hobro vs Aalborg?

Live odds for Hobro vs Aalborg from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Hobro vs Aalborg start?

August 21, 2026.