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Denmark. Cup. Round of 128
Denmark. Cup. Round of 128
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Denmark. Cup. Round of 128

Odder - Skive

Football
O
Odder
2 : 3
Finished
S
Skive

Odder meet Skive on August 5, 2026 in the Denmark. Cup. Round of 128.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 23% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Skive — 53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Skive): model 37% · market 54% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Odder23.1%
X · draw24.2%
2 · Skive52.7%

Model estimate: win Odder 23.1%, draw 24.2%, win Skive 52.7%. Model favourite — Skive.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Odder (odds2.44) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Odder: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.44)
  • • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Odder - Skive August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Skive.

Line favourite market consensus: Skive. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.20 / X 3.80 / 2 1.72
  • Glicko: Odder 23.1% / X 24.2% / Skive 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6% 3 books
1 22.0%
X 24.3%
2 53.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

DBU Pokalen
League table
Odder
#341 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
Skive
#351 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
Best price across 14 books
1 4.80 Unibet
X 4.10 Unibet
2 1.85 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Odder
W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 1.09 Conceded 1.74 xG 1.80 xGA 1.35
Skive
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.63 Conceded 0.84 xG 1.23 xGA 1.54

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Odder
22%
4.20
Draw
25%
3.80
Skive
53%
1.72
Handicap
Odder (0)
29%
3.20
Skive (0)
71%
1.30
Total
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Under 2.5
44%
2.13

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Odder 1 : 2 Skive
14.41
X3.60
21.69

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 22.0% @ 4.20 / X 24.3% @ 3.80 / 2 53.7% @ 1.72
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Skive 53%
💹 Market Skive 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Odder - Skive

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.7% fact: away hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.336 / LogLoss 0.641
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.7% fact: away hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.336 / LogLoss 0.641
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Odder 22.0% 23.1%
Draw 24.3% 24.2% draw risk
Skive 53.7% 52.7% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.1% / 24.2% / 52.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,408 / 1,481 Odder IGF / Skive
RD 264 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 881-1,936 / 881-2,080 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 market consensus · no value · model 52.7%
X 3.74 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.18 market consensus · no value · model 23.1%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
1X 1.98 market consensus · no value · model 47.3%
X2 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 76.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.30 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 3.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.19 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
x2 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.85 20.6%
X 2.18 45.9%
2.24 44.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.65 60.6%
Over 1.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 1 2.12 47.2%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Odder IGFLDWLLD
SkiveWWDWWDDDDL
H2H 0-0-2, avg 3.0 gls
2026-08-05 · Odder IGF 2:3 Skive IK
2023-08-08 · Odder IGF 0:1 Skive IK
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 5.8 (Betcity) · X 4.4 (Winline) · 2 1.6 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 4.6 3.7 1.6
Winline 5.4 4.4 1.57
Fonbet 4.6 3.7 1.6
Betcity 5.8 3.8 1.55
Liga Stavok 5.4 4.2 1.49
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Odder
L D
13.06 10:00 UTC+0 Denmark: Tretiy Division - Group vyleta Standings
Odder 2:3 Liseng
06.06 09:00 UTC+0 Denmark: Tretiy Division - Group vyleta Standings
Odder 2:2 Frem
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Skive
D
06.06 10:00 UTC+0 Denmark: Second Division - Group vyleta Standings
Skive 1:1 Iskhoy Boldklub
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOdder - Skive

Odder
0 matches total
Skive
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history