Who is the favourite in Viborg vs Aarhus?

By the PropickAI model, Viborg is favoured — about 47% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Viborg vs Aarhus?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Viborg. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Viborg win probability ~47% best odds 2.02

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Viborg. Full breakdown below.

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Denmark. Superleague

4th round 14.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

14.08.2026 17:00 UTC 4th round

Finished

Denmark. Superleague

Viborg - Aarhus

Football

Stadium Enerdzhi Viborg (Viborg, Denmark)

Referee Mikkel Redder (Denmark)

Capacity 9 566

Viborg

2 : 1

Finished

Aarhus

Viborg go head-to-head with Aarhus on August 14, 2026 in the Denmark. Superleague.

Recent form (W-D-L): Viborg 2-1-2, Aarhus 2-2-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Viborg — 47%

1 · Viborg46.8%

X · draw25.4%

2 · Aarhus27.7%

Model estimate: win Viborg 46.8%, draw 25.4%, win Aarhus 27.7%. Model favourite — Viborg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Viborg (odds2.00) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct

• Model backs Viborg: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
• no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Viborg - Aarhus August 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Viborg.

Line favourite market consensus: Viborg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.70 / 2 3.42
Glicko: Viborg 46.8% / X 25.4% / Aarhus 27.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2% 5 books

1 46.8%

X 25.6%

2 27.6%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Superliga

League table

Viborg

#27 ptsGP 42-1-13:2

Aarhus

#92 ptsGP 30-2-14:5

Best price across 14 books

1 2.07 Pinnacle

X 3.79 Pinnacle

2 3.50 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Viborg

W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.94 Conceded 1.31 xG 1.62 xGA 1.55 Corners 4.6

Aarhus

W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.79 Conceded 1.12 xG 1.67 xGA 1.33 Corners 4.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences

9 np Tim Freriks 7 np Yonis Njoh 2 Mohamed Riahi 6 pz Nicolai Poulsen 17 pz Kevin Yakob 5 zsch Frederik Tingager

Source: championat

Model form (Glicko)

Viborg

Rating 1534 xG 1.44 Win 43%

Aarhus

Rating 1617 xG 1.19 Win 31%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Viborg

47%

2.02

Draw

26%

3.70

Aarhus

28%

3.42

Handicap

Viborg (0)

63%

1.52

Aarhus (0)

37%

2.55

Total

Over 9.5

51%

1.75

Under 9.5

49%

1.81

Both teams to score

Yes

50%

3.15

50%

2.51

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Viborg 1 : 2 Aarhus

12.04

X3.50

23.44

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions

35 predictions Choose an outcome

1 34% 12

X 45% 16

2 20% 7

Match center

Stadium Enerdzhi Viborg (Viborg, Denmark)

Referee Mikkel Redder (Denmark)

Start 14.08.2026 17:00 UTC

Market 1 46.8% @ 2.02 / X 25.6% @ 3.70 / 2 27.6% @ 3.42

Weather +31°C solnechno

Broadcasts Sport 2, Sport 2 Baltic Viborg

Capacity 9,566

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Draw 45%

📐 Math model Viborg 47%

💹 Market Viborg 47%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Viborg - Aarhus

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Viborg - Orkhus, 14 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship Danii po futbolu (Superliga) 2027, 4-y Round. Viborg - Orkhus, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Lineups 11/10 probable starting lineup

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 8 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 46.8% fact: home hit / ROI 102.0% / Brier 0.424 / LogLoss 0.758

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 46.8% fact: home hit / ROI 102.0% / Brier 0.424 / LogLoss 0.758

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Viborg 46.8% 46.8% market and model agree

Draw 25.6% 25.4% draw risk

Aarhus 27.6% 27.7%

xG - 1.38 : 1.16

1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 46.8% / 25.4% / 27.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,563 / 1,481 Viborg / Aarhus

RD 219 / 292 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,124-2,001 / 896-2,065 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.36 market consensus · no value · model 27.7%

X 3.66 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.01 market consensus · no value · model 46.8%

Double chance

12 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 74.6%

1X 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 72.3%

X2 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 53.2%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.49 market consensus · line only

2 0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.47 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	2.45 40.8%	2.45 40.8%	2.51 39.8%
yes	3.15 31.8%	3.15 31.8%	1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%
1x	1.27 78.7%	1.29 77.5%	1.26 79.4%	1.26 79.4%
x2	1.73 57.8%	1.76 56.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.51 39.8%
X	2.44 41.0%
	3.67 27.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.58 63.3%
Over 1.5	2.22 45.1%
Under 1	2.29 43.7%
Under 1.5	1.61 62.1%

Match center

4-3-3 3-4-3

20 K. Kiilerich 4 L. Kirkegaard 5 Ž. Zaletel 23 Oliver Kristensen 30 S. Kuzmic 6 M. Clausen 10 T. Jørgensen 13 J. Grønning 11 C. Horneman 19 Dorian Hanza 29 S. Jalal 1 Yesper Khansen 14 T. Henriksen 26 J. Andersen 7 M. Solbakken 10 Kristian Arnstad 11 Gift Links 39 F. Emmery 8 Sebastian Yergensen 13 Dzhanni-Luka Serra 23 Mikael Anderson

Viborg

Formation 4-3-3

Probable starting lineup

20 KK K. Kiilerich

K. Kiilerich

4 LK L. Kirkegaard

L. Kirkegaard

5 ŽZ Ž. Zaletel

Ž. Zaletel

23 OK Oliver Kristensen

Oliver Kristensen

30 SK S. Kuzmic

S. Kuzmic

6 MC M. Clausen

M. Clausen

10 TJ T. Jørgensen

T. Jørgensen

13 JG J. Grønning

J. Grønning

11 CH C. Horneman

C. Horneman

19 DH Dorian Hanza

Dorian Hanza

29 SJ S. Jalal

S. Jalal

Head coach Nikolay Lund

Aarhus

Formation 3-4-3

Probable starting lineup

1 YK Yesper Khansen

Yesper Khansen

14 TH T. Henriksen

T. Henriksen

26 JA J. Andersen

J. Andersen

7 MS M. Solbakken

M. Solbakken

10 KA Kristian Arnstad

11 GL Gift Links

Gift Links

39 FE F. Emmery

F. Emmery

8 SY Sebastian Yergensen

Sebastian Yergensen

13 DS Dzhanni-Luka Serra

Dzhanni-Luka Serra

23 MA Mikael Anderson

Mikael Anderson

Head coach Yakob Poulsen

Viborg

TF Tim Freriks np

YN Yonis Njoh np

Aarhus

NP Nicolai Poulsen pz

KYa Kevin Yakob pz

FT Frederik Tingager zsch

9 np Tim Freriks 7 np Yonis Njoh 2 Mohamed Riahi 6 pz Nicolai Poulsen 17 pz Kevin Yakob 5 zsch Frederik Tingager

Formations 4-3-3 / 3-4-3

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H

Match center

10 Matches 10

9 Goals 18

0.9 Per match 1.8

3 Wins 4

2 Draws 3

5 Losses 3

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-3-5, avg 3.5 gls

2026-08-14 · Viborg 2:1 Orkhus

2026-06-27 · Viborg 1:1 Orkhus

2026-05-17 · Viborg 2:6 Orkhus

2026-04-06 · Viborg 1:2 Orkhus

2026-02-22 · Viborg 2:5 Orkhus

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.4 (Betcity) · X 3.6 (Pari) · 2 2.8 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.3	3.6	2.8
Winline	2.33	3.45	2.75
Fonbet	2.3	3.6	2.8
Betcity	2.4	3.5	2.75
Liga Stavok	2.32	3.4	2.75

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

33 Ball possession 67

13 Vsego udarov 19

4 Shots on target 6

5 Shots off target 4

7 Udary ot vorot 10

4 Blokirovannye udary 9

15 Shtrafnye 16

3 Corners 10

1 Offsides 1

12 Auty 22

5 Saves 2

15 Fouls 14

0 Cards total 1

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

0 Travmy 0

5 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Viborg

D L W W L

07.08, 12:00

Senneryyusk 0:0 Viborg

02.08, 09:00

Brondbyu 1:0 Viborg

24.07, 12:00

Viborg 1:0 Odense

17.07, 05:00

Viborg 1:0 Orkhus Fremad

16.07, 07:00

Kopengagen 2:1 Viborg

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.2 Conceded

7 Points

Aarhus

L W D W D

11.08, 11:00

Sabakh Masazyr 4:0 Orkhus

05.08, 12:10

Orkhus 2:1 Sabakh Masazyr

01.08, 11:00

Lyungbyu 2:2 Orkhus

29.07, 12:00

Lekh Poznan 1:4 Orkhus

25.07, 11:00

Orkhus 1:1 Brondbyu

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyViborg - Aarhus

Viborg

8 matches total

Aarhus

Viborg: 3 (37.5%)

Draws:3 (37.5%)

Aarhus: 2 (25%)

Biggest win Viborg 6:2 (17.05, 11:00) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 8 goals (6:2, 17.05, 11:00) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.06, 06:00) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

18 Goals scored 12

12 Goals conceded 18

Match history

Event

Viborg

1:1

Aarhus

Event

Viborg

6:2

Aarhus

Event

Viborg

1:2

Aarhus

Event

Viborg

5:2

Aarhus

Event

Viborg

1:2

Aarhus

Event

Viborg

1:1

Aarhus

Event

Viborg

1:1

Aarhus

Event

Viborg

2:1

Aarhus

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Viborg

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Aarhus

3 Games 2

1 Wins 0

1 Draws 2

1 Losses 0

1 Scored 3

1 Conceded 3

4 Points 2

84 Attacks 89

46 Dangerous attacks 60.5

0 Big chances 0

13.67 Shots on goal 11

3.33 Udary v stvor 3

Matches in history 50

Biggest draw 3:3

Highest-scoring match 6:2

Tovarischeskiy (kluby) 10 / 2 / 4 / 4 / 13 / 15

Superliga 34 / 10 / 10 / 14 / 42 / 52

1-y Division 5 / 2 / 1 / 2 / 8 / 5

Cup Danii 1 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 0 / 2

Viborg Orkhus 3 Games 2 1 Wins 0 1 Draws 2 1 Losses 0 1 Scored 3 1 Conceded 3 4 Points 2 84 Attacks 89 46 Dangerous attacks 60.5 0 Big chances 0 13.67 Shots on goal 11 3.33 Udary v stvor 3 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.67 Uglovye 6 1.67 Offsaydy 2 12.33 Foly 13 51.33 % vladeniya myachom 45.5 1.67 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 25.10.2026 Denmark — Superliga Orkhus –:– Viborg 12 round Goly Mads Soendergaard Zhan Zaletel 1:0 11' Frederik Emmeri Markus Solbakken 1 31' Mads Soendergaard Oliver Bunngor 2:1 60' Nakazaniya Magnus Knudsen 76'

Viborg - Aarhus

AI match prediction Viborg - Aarhus August 14, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Viborg - Aarhus

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Overall statistics

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions