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Ecuador. Premier League

27.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

27.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec

Football

Deportivo Cuenca

7 : 0

Finished

Emelec

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Deportivo Cuenca — 40%

Pure model vs market (1 · Deportivo Cuenca): model 29% · market 41% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Deportivo Cuenca40.2%

X · draw30.4%

2 · Emelec29.4%

Model estimate: win Deportivo Cuenca 40.2%, draw 30.4%, win Emelec 29.4%. Model favourite — Deportivo Cuenca.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Emelec (odds1.95) Score 1:2 Under 6.5 (odds2.10) ✓ Handicap H2 +6.5 (odds2.02) ✗ confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs Emelek: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
• legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
• Expected score 1:2
• Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
• at line 6.5 (odds 2.10)
• Handicap F2 +6.5: score forecast 1:2 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 2.02).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Cuenca.

Strongest: Deportivo Cuenca - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.23 / X 2.97 / 2 3.19
1X2 market: Deportivo Cuenca 40.8% / X 30.6% / Emelec 28.6%
Glicko: Deportivo Cuenca 40.2% / X 30.4% / Emelec 29.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%

1 40.8%

X 30.6%

2 28.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportivo Cuenca 1 : 1 Emelec

12.25

X3.12

23.28

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 27.07.2026 22:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Deportivo Cuenca 40%

💹 Market Deportivo Cuenca 4075%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 7:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 40.2% fact: home hit / ROI 135.0% / Brier 0.537 / LogLoss 0.912

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 40.2% fact: home hit / ROI 135.0% / Brier 0.537 / LogLoss 0.912

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Deportivo Cuenca 40.9% 40.2% market and model agree

Draw 30.8% 30.4% draw risk

Emelec 28.3% 29.4%

1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 40.2% / 30.4% / 29.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,298 / 1,638 Deportivo Cuenca / Emelec

RD 177 / 168 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 944-1,652 / 1,302-1,973 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 29.4%

X 4.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 40.2%

Double chance

12 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 69.6%

1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 70.6%

X2 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +468.5% · model 59.8%

Handicap

2 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.31 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.30 43.5%	2.26 44.3%	2.30 43.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.12 32.1%	3.00 33.3%	2.95 33.9%	3.00 33.3%	2.70 37.0%
	3.20 31.3%	3.26 30.7%	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.00 33.3%	2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%
yes	2.00 50.0%	2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.13 88.5%
1x	1.27 78.7%	1.29 77.5%	1.02 98.0%
x2	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%	9.50 10.5%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	7.00 14.3%
0_1	6.50 15.4%
0_2	13.00 7.7%
0_3	31.00 3.2%
0_4	91.00 1.1%
1_0	5.50 18.2%
1_1	5.25 19.1%
1_2	9.50 10.5%
1_3	23.00 4.4%
1_4	67.00 1.5%
2_0	8.50 11.8%
2_1	7.50 13.3%
2_2	13.00 7.7%
2_3	34.00 2.9%
2_4	91.00 1.1%
3_0	19.00 5.3%
3_1	17.00 5.9%
3_2	29.00 3.5%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-1-4, avg 2.78 gls

2026-07-28 · Deportivo Kuenka 2:1 Emelek

2026-04-05 · Deportivo Kuenka 2:0 Emelek

2025-12-20 · Deportivo Kuenka 5:1 Emelek

2025-10-04 · Deportivo Kuenka 1:3 Emelek

2025-08-11 · Deportivo Kuenka 1:1 Emelek

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.22 (Winline) · X 3.15 (Winline) · 2 3.55 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.12	3.1	3.5
Winline	2.22	3.15	3.55
Fonbet	2.12	3.1	3.5
Betcity	2.13	3.1	3.5
Liga Stavok	2.16	3	3.4

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Cards total 5

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

4 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Deportivo Cuenca

D L D L L

22.07 17:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Deportivo Cuenca 1:1 Makara

18.07 17:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Deportivo Cuenca 0:2 Universidad Katolika Kito

15.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Deportivo Cuenca 1:1 Leones del Norte

12.07 17:15 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 Aukas

04.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Deportivo Cuenca 0:2 Barselona Guayakil

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

2 Points

Emelec

D L W D D

23.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Emelec 1:1 Mushuk Runa

19.07 22:15 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Emelec 1:6 Independente del Vale

16.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Emelec 2:0 Orense

12.07 21:10 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Emelec 0:0 Barselona Guayakil

05.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings

Emelec 1:1 Delfin

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Cuenca - Emelec

Deportivo Cuenca

0 matches total

Emelec

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec

AI match prediction Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec July 27, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Match history