Ecuador. Premier League
Emelec face Deportivo Aucas on August 2, 2026 in the Ecuador. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Emelec 1-2-2, Deportivo Aucas 2-0-3. The market favourite is Emelec at roughly 42%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 43% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Emelec — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · Emelec): model 52% · market 42% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Emelec 43.0%, draw 29.7%, win Deportivo Aucas 27.2%. Model favourite — Emelec.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Emelec.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.22 45.1% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.12 32.1% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.75 36.4% |
| 3.30 30.3% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.00 33.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.07 93.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 6.20 16.1% | 2.00 50.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 4.20 23.8% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_2 | 31.00 3.2% |
Emelec
Deportivo Aucas
Full head-to-head historyEmelec - Deportivo Aucas
The Emelec - Deportivo Aucas breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
