Ecuador: Seriya V Standings
Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors
Gualaceo meet Independiente Juniors on August 1, 2026 in the Ecuador: Seriya V Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gualaceo 1-3-1, Independiente Juniors 2-2-1. The market favourite is Gualaceo at roughly 37%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Gualaceo — 37%
Pure model vs market (1 · Gualaceo): model 39% · market 37% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Gualaceo 37.4%, draw 32.3%, win Independiente Juniors 30.3%. Model favourite — Gualaceo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Gualaseo: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.13)
- • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gualaceo.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 2.76 / 2 2.96
- 1X2 market: Gualaceo 37.1% / X 32.5% / Independiente Juniors 30.4%
- Glicko: Gualaceo 37.4% / X 32.3% / Independiente Juniors 30.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga Pro Serie BHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 42.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | |
| X | 2.95 33.9% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.72 36.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.60 38.5% |
| 2.80 35.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.63 38.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 1.60 62.5% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 2.19 45.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 7.00 14.3% |
| x2 | 1.47 68.0% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.19 84.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 2_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 3_1 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 3_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
Form & head-to-head
Gualaceo
Full head-to-head historyGualaceo - Independiente Juniors
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form