When does Plimut vs Coventry City start?

AI verdict

AI pickPlimut win probability ~66% confidence High best odds 4.69

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Plimut. Full breakdown below.

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England. Championship

2-y raund

26.08.2026 18:45 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

26.08.2026 18:45 UTC 2-y raund

Not started

England. Championship

Plimut - Coventry City

Football

Stadium Khoum Park (Plimut, England)

Plimut

- : -

Not started

Coventry City

Plimut go head-to-head with Coventry City on August 26, 2026 in the England. Championship.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Plimut — 66%

1 · Plimut✓ Pick66.3%

market 20%

X · draw16.9%

market 23%

2 · Coventry City16.8%

market 57%

Model estimate: win Plimut 66.3%, draw 16.9%, win Coventry City 16.8%. Model favourite — Plimut.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance — Coventry City or draw

Model confidence 80% ~80% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Plimut - Coventry City August 26, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Coventry City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.69 / X 3.98 / 2 1.63

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%

1 ✓ Pick 19.8%

X 23.3%

2 56.9%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket EFL Cup 26/27

Preliminary Round

Tranmere3

Rochdale4

York0

Crawley2

Round 1

Stockport5

Doncaster6

West Ham3

Portsmouth1

Mansfield0

Sheffield United3

Swansea0

Birmingham1

Barnsley7

Wigan6

Bromley5

Reading6

Rotherham1

West Bromwich4

Wycombe1

Stevenage2

Middlesbrough1

Wrexham0

Leyton Orient2

Oxford United0

Colchester0

Southampton2

Norwich4

Milton Keynes1

Burnley5

Notts4

Wolverhampton3

Port Vale0

Stoke2

Oldham0

Crewe2

Accrington1

Fleetwood1

Chesterfield0

Leicester1

Northampton0

Sheffield Wednesday1

Bolton0

Wimbledon6

Newport5

QPR1

Millwall3

Preston5

Huddersfield4

Grimsby1

Blackpool3

Salford4

Shrewsbury5

Burton1

Blackburn2

Derby1

Lincoln2

Cambridge2

Barnet1

Bristol Rovers0

Peterborough1

Plymouth2

Exeter0

Bristol City0

Walsall1

Cardiff3

Swindon2

Gillingham0

Luton3

Cheltenham1

Charlton3

Bradford2

Rochdale0

Watford1

Crawley0

Round 2

Doncaster0

Middlesbrough0

Southampton0

West Ham0

Blackburn0

Sheffield United0

Birmingham0

Brentford0

Barnsley0

Crewe0

Stevenage0

Reading0

Newcastle0

West Bromwich0

Walsall0

Leyton Orient0

Cardiff0

Norwich0

Bradford0

Burnley0

Sheffield Wednesday0

Wolverhampton0

Stoke0

Hull0

Fleetwood0

Shrewsbury0

Ipswich0

Leicester0

Fulham0

Wimbledon0

Cambridge0

Millwall0

Preston0

Everton0

Blackpool0

Lincoln0

Watford0

Peterborough0

Plymouth0

Coventry0

Chelsea0

Luton0

Tottenham0

Charlton0

Nottingham0

Leeds United0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated23.08.2026 20:54 UTC

1 20%

X 25%

2 55% ✓ favourite

Score1:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2

Per AI data Form:WLD / LWW H2H: 1-1 Injuries:Mason-Clark out Key:Divisional gap between Premier League and League One

Details

Plymouth Argyle face Coventry City at Home Park in the second round of the EFL Cup.
Current Form
Plymouth Argyle compete in League One. They entered the EFL Cup second round after a 2-0 victory against Exeter City. In their most recent domestic games, they suffered a 3-1 loss to Stockport County and secured a 1-1 draw against Wycombe Wanderers. Their defensive setup remains vulnerable but shows solid cup determination.
Coventry City play in the Premier League. They started their top-flight league season with a tough 3-0 defeat against Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium. However, their pre-season performances were highly encouraging, including a 3-1 win over Espanyol and a 2-0 victory against Monaco. The substantial difference in division hierarchy gives the visitors a massive natural edge.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
The historical head-to-head records show competitive matchups when both played in the Championship. In their most recent encounter in April 2025, Plymouth managed a 3-1 home victory over Coventry. Prior to that, Coventry completely dominated with a 4-0 home win in December 2024.
Injuries, Suspensions, and Line-ups
Plymouth Argyle: No major new suspensions are reported. Squad rotation is highly anticipated as the team prioritizes league survival. Key cup starters like Alex Hartridge and Aribim Pepple are expected to lead the lineup.
Coventry City: Midfielder Jack Rudoni recently returned to the bench following a shoulder issue, while forward Ephron Mason-Clark has battled a hamstring injury. Due to squad depth and Premier League requirements, heavy rotation is expected with squad players like Brandon Thomas-Asante and Victor Torp getting starts.
Match Probabilities & Predictions
The initial statistical model suggests standard market probabilities favor the home side based purely on historical weightings (P1 66% / X 17% / P2 17%). However, our live evaluation strongly contradicts this baseline. Coventry City are now a Premier League team, whereas Plymouth Argyle reside in League One. Even with extensive squad rotation from the top-flight visitors, the gulf in individual quality remains massive.
We assess the probability distribution to strongly favor the away team, deviating entirely from the baseline model:
P1 (Home Win): 20%
X (Draw): 25%
P2 (Away Win): 55%
Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals. Both sides tend to play open football in cup fixtures, and rotated backlines increase individual errors.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes. Plymouth always finds an extra gear at Home Park in front of their fans.
Double Chance: X2 (safe coverage considering cup surprises and rotation risks).
Exact Score: 1:2
Conclusion
The main bet for this cup fixture is Coventry City to win (P2) or Double Chance X2 for safety. The baseline Glicko model fails to capture the massive divisional jump Coventry made to the Premier League. The quality difference will dictate the game.

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	20%	25%	55%	1:2	Over 2.5	Yes	X2

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Match center

Stadium Khoum Park (Plimut, England)

Start 26.08.2026 18:45 UTC

Market 1 19.8% @ 4.69 / X 23.3% @ 3.98 / 2 56.9% @ 1.63

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Coventry City 55%

📐 Math model Plimut66%

💹 Market Coventry City 57%

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Match center

Plimut - Coventry City

football, Plimut Argayl - Koventri Siti, 25 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Plimut Argayl - Koventri Siti, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Cup Angliyskoy futbolnoy ligi 2026/27, 2-y raund.

Form 1/3 recent games

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Plimut 19.8% 66.3% Glicko contrarian

Draw 23.3% 16.9% draw risk

Coventry City 56.9% 16.8% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 66.3% / 16.9% / 16.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,658 / 1,301 Plimut / Coventry City

RD 292 / 291 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,074-2,241 / 719-1,883 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.63 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 16.8%

X 3.98 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 4.69 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 66.3%

Handicap

2 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only

1 +1 1.69 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.12 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.12 47.2%
yes	1.64 61.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.92 20.3%
X	2.46 40.7%
	2.17 46.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.57 63.7%
Under 1	2.30 43.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Leon
	1.69 59.2%
	2.05 48.8%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-2, avg 3.25 gls

2025-04-21 · Plimut Argayl 3:1 Koventri Siti

2024-12-26 · Plimut Argayl 0:4 Koventri Siti

2024-02-14 · Plimut Argayl 2:2 Koventri Siti

2023-11-28 · Plimut Argayl 0:1 Koventri Siti

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 5 (Liga Stavok) · X 4 (Liga Stavok) · 2 1.76 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	4.4	3.85	1.67
Winline	4.8	3.9	1.63
Fonbet	4.4	3.85	1.68
Betcity	4.3	3.8	1.76
Liga Stavok	5	4	1.61

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Plimut

10.08 19:00 UTC England: Cup Angliyskoy ligi

Plimut 2:0 Ekseter Siti

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Coventry City

D D D

12.08.2025 Championat

12.08.2025 England — Cup ligi Plimut Argayl 3 : 2 Kuinz Park Reyndzhers 1-y raund Coventry City

03.05.2025 Championat

03.05.2025 England — Chempionship Plimut Argayl 1 : 2 Lids Yunayted Chempionship. 46-y Round 2 Wins 0 Draws 3 Losses 1 Scored 1.2 Conceded 6+0 Kartochki 0 +1 0 +3 0 +1 0 -2 0 -2 -1 15 30 45 60 75 Coventry City

21.08.2026 Championat

21.08.2026 England — Premier League Arsenal Coventry City

0 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

— Scored

— Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Plimut - Coventry City

Plimut

0 matches total

Coventry City

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Plimut

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Coventry City

1 Games 0

1 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

2 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

3 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

21 Shots on goal 0

6 Udary v stvor 0

1 Games 0

1 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

2 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

Plimut Argayl Koventri Siti 1 Games 0 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 2 Scored 0 Conceded 0 3 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 21 Shots on goal 0 6 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 9 Uglovye 0 2 Offsaydy 0 9 Foly 0 63 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Frenk Lempard Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 33% 17% 50% Double chance 25% 41% 34% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1337370' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); England — Cup ligi Turnirnaya Standings

Plimut - Coventry City

AI match prediction Plimut - Coventry City August 26, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

AI outcome leader: 1

Tournament bracket EFL Cup 26/27

AI predictions

Unlock the full AI analysis

Plimut - Coventry City

Match markets

Both teams to score

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Handicap

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions