AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Tottenham. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
27.08.2026 18:45 UTC
England. Championship
Tottenham go head-to-head with Charlton on August 27, 2026 in the England. Championship.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Tottenham — 73%
Model estimate: win Tottenham 72.8%, draw 16.5%, win Charlton 10.8%. Model favourite — Tottenham.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Double chance — Tottenham or draw 1.03
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% |
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 3.60 27.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| X | 2.83 35.3% |
| 8.40 11.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.64 61.0% |
Full head-to-head history: Tottenham - Charlton
The Tottenham - Charlton breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 27, 2026.
