AI verdict

AI pick Blaublitz Akita win probability ~35% confidence Low best odds 2.60

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Blaublitz Akita. Full breakdown below.

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Emperor Cup
Emperor Cup
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Not started

Emperor Cup

Imabari - Blaublitz Akita

Football
Stadium ASICS Satoyama Stadium
I
Imabari
- : -
Not started
B
Blaublitz Akita

Imabari take on Blaublitz Akita on August 26, 2026 in the Emperor Cup.

These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Blaublitz Akita35%

1 · Imabari34.6%
X · draw30.0%
2 · Blaublitz Akita35.3%

Model estimate: win Imabari 34.6%, draw 30.0%, win Blaublitz Akita 35.3%. Model favourite — Blaublitz Akita.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Imabari - Blaublitz Akita August 26, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Blaublitz Akita. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.74 / X 3.07 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.7% 3 books · best price +5.4%
1 34.5%
X 31.1%
2 34.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Emperor Cup
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Imabari
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.30 Conceded 1.46 xG 1.02 xGA 1.11
Blaublitz Akita
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.26 Conceded 1.36 xG 0.97 xGA 1.19

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Imabari
34%
2.74
Draw
31%
3.07
Blaublitz Akita
35%
2.60
Total
Over 2.5
45%
2.02
Under 2.5
55%
1.65
Both teams to score
Yes
51%
1.89
No
49%
1.93

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Imabari 1 : 1 Blaublitz Akita
12.78
X3.22
22.46

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket Emperor Cup 2026

Round 1
Src Hiroshima1
Okazaki6
Grulla Morioka0
Sapporo University0
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Tokyo I.U.0
Atletico Suzuka Club4
FC Basara Hyogo2
Reinmeer Aomori0
Akita University0
Wakayama0
AC Numazu6
Ryutsu K1
Criacao Shinjuku2
FC Tokushima1
Kawazoe Club0
Belugarosso Iwami2
Nagasaki International University0
Tochigi2
Urayasu0
Nagano Parceiro2
Fukui1
Gainare T8
Roasso K7
Reilac Shiga2
Japan S.C.1
Tohoku Gakuin University1
Thespa Gunma3
Veroskronos Tsuno3
Kamatamare S1
Giravanz K1
Okinawa SV2
Senshu University2
Uni. of Tsukuba1
Verspah Oita3
Kochi United0
Kanazawa Seiryo University1
Kyoto Sangyo University4
Fukushima U0
Oyama0
Kagoshima Utd2
Renofa Y1
Gifu0
Toyama S0
Ehime0
International Pacific University0
Nara1
FC Osaka4
Round 2
Imabari0
Blaublitz A0
Tosu0
Kataller T0
Montedio0
Fujieda0
Omiya ArdijaA0
Vanraure Hachinohe0
Sapporo0
Ventforet0
Vegalta0
Tochigi City0
Iwaki FC0
Oita0
Jubilo I0
Tegevajaro0
Kyoto Sanga0
Okazaki0
Machida Z0
Grulla Morioka0
Urawa0
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Kashima0
Atletico Suzuka Club0
Shonan0
Reinmeer Aomori0
United Chiba0
AC Numazu0
Yokohama0
Criacao Shinjuku0
Vortis0
FC Tokushima0
Fagiano O0
Belugarosso Iwami0
Frontale0
Tochigi0
Tokyo0
Nagano Parceiro0
Nagoya0
Gainare T0
Gamba0
Reilac Shiga0
Tokyo V0
Thespa Gunma0
Kobe0
Veroskronos Tsuno0
Hiroshima0
Okinawa SV0
Kashiwa0
Senshu University0
Avispa0
Verspah Oita0
Mito H0
Kyoto Sangyo University0
Marinos0
Fukushima U0
Albirex0
Kagoshima Utd0
Cerezo0
Gifu0
V-Varen0
Ehime0
Shimizu0
FC Osaka0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium ASICS Satoyama Stadium
Start 26.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 33.9% @ 2.74 / X 30.3% @ 3.07 / 2 35.8% @ 2.60
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Blaublitz Akita 35%
💹 Market Imabari 34%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Imabari - Blaublitz Akita

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Imabari 33.9% 34.6%
Draw 30.5% 30.0% draw risk
Blaublitz Akita 35.6% 35.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.6% / 30.0% / 35.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,345 / 1,300 Imabari / Blaublitz A
RD 197 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 951-1,739 / 700-1,899 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 market consensus · no value · model 35.3%
X 2.94 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.65 market consensus · no value · model 34.6%
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 70.0%
1X 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 64.7%
X2 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 65.4%
Handicap
2 0 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
x2 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.50 28.6%
X 1.98 50.5%
3.13 32.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.10 47.6%
Under 1 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Imabari
L D L D L
22.08 09:30 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Imabari 0:4 Kataller Toyama
15.08 10:00 UTC+0 1. Liga
Imabari 2:2 Omiya Ardiya
09.08 09:00 UTC+0 1. Liga
Imabari 1:2 Ivaki
07.06 02:00 UTC+0 Japan: J2/J3 League - Matchi za mesto
Imabari 1:1 Vanraure
31.05 05:00 UTC+0 1. Liga
Imabari 1:2 Ryukyu
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Blaublitz Akita
L
07.06 03:00 UTC+0 Japan: J2/J3 League - Playoff
Blaublitz Akita 0:2 Kagosima YunaytedKagosima Yunayted
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Imabari - Blaublitz Akita

Imabari
3 matches total
Blaublitz Akita
Imabari: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Blaublitz Akita: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Imabari 1:3 (2020-12-05) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 2020-12-05) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 5

Match history

2025-08-23 Emperor Cup 2026
Blaublitz A 1:2 Imabari
2025-02-16 Emperor Cup 2026
Imabari 0:1 Blaublitz A
2020-12-05 Emperor Cup 2026
Blaublitz A 1:3 Imabari

Recent form

Imabari LLLWLL
Blaublitz Akita WLDLWW

Team form & streaks

Imabari LLLWLL
Scoring streak: 6
Blaublitz Akita WLDLWW

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 8 Stadium: ASICS Satoyama Stadium, Imabari

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

When does Imabari vs Blaublitz Akita start?

August 26, 2026.