AI verdict

AI pick Consadole Sapporo win probability ~47% best odds 1.97

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Consadole Sapporo. Full breakdown below.

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Emperor Cup
Emperor Cup
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Not started

Emperor Cup

Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu

Football
Stadium Sapporo
Consadole Sapporo
Consadole Sapporo
- : -
Not started
V
Ventforet Kofu

Consadole Sapporo take on Ventforet Kofu on August 26, 2026 in the Emperor Cup.

Recent form (W-D-L): Consadole Sapporo 2-1-2, Ventforet Kofu 0-1-4. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Consadole Sapporo47%

1 · Consadole Sapporo46.6%
X · draw28.8%
2 · Ventforet Kofu24.6%

Model estimate: win Consadole Sapporo 46.6%, draw 28.8%, win Ventforet Kofu 24.6%. Model favourite — Consadole Sapporo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance Consadole Sapporo or draw 1.19

Model confidence 77% ~80% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu August 26, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Consadole Sapporo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.20 / 2 4.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7% 3 books · best price +1.0%
1 47.1%
X 29.2%
2 23.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Emperor Cup
Best price across 13 books
1 2.08 Dafabet
X 3.25 Betfair
2 3.90 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Consadole Sapporo
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 2.57 Conceded 1.62 xG 1.71 xGA 0.99
Ventforet Kofu
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.29 Conceded 1.16 xG 1.03 xGA 1.55

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Consadole Sapporo
47%
1.97
Draw
29%
3.20
Ventforet Kofu
24%
4.10
Handicap
Consadole Sapporo (0)
67%
1.41
Ventforet Kofu (0)
33%
2.90
Total
Over 2.5
44%
2.13
Under 2.5
56%
1.64

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Consadole Sapporo 1 : 1 Ventforet Kofu
12.02
X3.15
23.83

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket Emperor Cup 2026

Round 1
Src Hiroshima1
Okazaki6
Grulla Morioka0
Sapporo University0
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Tokyo I.U.0
Atletico Suzuka Club4
FC Basara Hyogo2
Reinmeer Aomori0
Akita University0
Wakayama0
AC Numazu6
Ryutsu K1
Criacao Shinjuku2
FC Tokushima1
Kawazoe Club0
Belugarosso Iwami2
Nagasaki International University0
Tochigi2
Urayasu0
Nagano Parceiro2
Fukui1
Gainare T8
Roasso K7
Reilac Shiga2
Japan S.C.1
Tohoku Gakuin University1
Thespa Gunma3
Veroskronos Tsuno3
Kamatamare S1
Giravanz K1
Okinawa SV2
Senshu University2
Uni. of Tsukuba1
Verspah Oita3
Kochi United0
Kanazawa Seiryo University1
Kyoto Sangyo University4
Fukushima U0
Oyama0
Kagoshima Utd2
Renofa Y1
Gifu0
Toyama S0
Ehime0
International Pacific University0
Nara1
FC Osaka4
Round 2
Imabari0
Blaublitz A0
Tosu0
Kataller T0
Montedio0
Fujieda0
Omiya ArdijaA0
Vanraure Hachinohe0
Sapporo0
Ventforet0
Vegalta0
Tochigi City0
Iwaki FC0
Oita0
Jubilo I0
Tegevajaro0
Kyoto Sanga0
Okazaki0
Machida Z0
Grulla Morioka0
Urawa0
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Kashima0
Atletico Suzuka Club0
Shonan0
Reinmeer Aomori0
United Chiba0
AC Numazu0
Yokohama0
Criacao Shinjuku0
Vortis0
FC Tokushima0
Fagiano O0
Belugarosso Iwami0
Frontale0
Tochigi0
Tokyo0
Nagano Parceiro0
Nagoya0
Gainare T0
Gamba0
Reilac Shiga0
Tokyo V0
Thespa Gunma0
Kobe0
Veroskronos Tsuno0
Hiroshima0
Okinawa SV0
Kashiwa0
Senshu University0
Avispa0
Verspah Oita0
Mito H0
Kyoto Sangyo University0
Marinos0
Fukushima U0
Albirex0
Kagoshima Utd0
Cerezo0
Gifu0
V-Varen0
Ehime0
Shimizu0
FC Osaka0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Participant opinions
3 predictions Choose an outcome
1 100% 3
X 0% 0
2 0% 0
Match center
Stadium Sapporo
Start 26.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 47.7% @ 1.97 / X 29.4% @ 3.20 / 2 22.9% @ 4.10
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Consadole Sapporo 100%
📐 Math model Consadole Sapporo 47%
💹 Market Consadole Sapporo 47%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Consadole Sapporo 47.1% 46.6% market and model agree
Draw 29.2% 28.8% draw risk
Ventforet Kofu 23.8% 24.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.6% / 28.8% / 24.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,300 / 1,400 Sapporo / Kofu
RD 295 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 710-1,890 / 801-2,000 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.91 market consensus · no value · model 24.6%
X 3.15 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.94 market consensus · no value · model 46.6%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 71.2%
1X 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 75.4%
X2 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 53.4%
Handicap
2 +1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.77 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.65 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0%
x2 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.68 37.3%
X 1.91 52.4%
4.67 21.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.13 47.0%
Under 1 1.64 61.0%
Match center
Consadole Sapporo Team form Ventforet Kofu
10 Matches 10
14 Goals 6
1.4 Per match 0.6
4 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 7
Consadole Sapporo
L L W W D
22.08, 01:00
Konsadole Sapporo 1:4 Omiya Ardiya
15.08, 05:00
Albireks Niigata 2:1 Konsadole Sapporo
08.08, 00:45
Konsadole Sapporo 2:0 Tokusima Vortis
25.07, 01:00
Konsadole Sapporo 1:0 Nagoya Grampus
17.07, 20:30
Vissel Kobe 1:1 Konsadole Sapporo
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Ventforet Kofu
L D L L L
22.08, 04:00
Blaublits Akita 3:0 Vanfore Kofu
15.08, 05:00
Vanfore Kofu 1:1 Tegevadzharo Miyadzaki
08.08, 05:30
Sagan Tosu 2:0 Vanfore Kofu
25.07, 03:00
Matsumoto Yamaga 3:0 Vanfore Kofu
05.06, 23:59
Tegevadzharo Miyadzaki 2:1 Vanfore Kofu
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu

Consadole Sapporo
3 matches total
Ventforet Kofu
Consadole Sapporo: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ventforet Kofu: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Ventforet 2:1 (2026-04-11) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2026-04-11) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 4

Match history

2026-04-11 Emperor Cup 2026
Ventforet 2:1 Sapporo
2026-03-21 Emperor Cup 2026
Sapporo 1:0 Ventforet
2025-08-23 Emperor Cup 2026
Ventforet 1:2 Sapporo
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Consadole Sapporo
Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Ventforet Kofu
Matches in history 15
Biggest draw 2:2
Highest-scoring match 2:4
J3 Liga 2 / 1 / 0 / 1 / 2 / 2
J2 Liga 8 / 3 / 2 / 3 / 12 / 14
Cup Imperatora 1 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 1 / 2
Cup Dzhey-ligi 2 / 0 / 0 / 2 / 0 / 6
J1 Liga 2 / 0 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 3

Recent form

Consadole Sapporo LLWLLL
Ventforet Kofu LDLLLL

Team form & streaks

Consadole Sapporo LLWLLL
Scoring streak: 5
Ventforet Kofu LDLLLL

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 8 Stadium: Sapporo, Sapporo

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

When does Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu start?

August 26, 2026.