AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Plimut. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
02.09.2026 18:45 UTC
Match prediction
England: First League
Leicester take on Plimut in football, in England: First League, on 2 September 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Plimut: roughly 54% to win. The bookmaker consensus (1 book) implies about 26% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 19%.
Recent form reads: Leicester have 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost of their last 1; Plimut have 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost of 2. Glicko ratings: Leicester 1400, Plimut 1658, a gap of 257 points.
Our model is notably more confident in the favourite than the market. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 28-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 257 Glicko rating points, the model's 54% for Plimut. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Plimut — 54%
Model estimate: win Leicester 27.2%, draw 19.0%, win Plimut 53.8%. Model favourite — Plimut.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leicester.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.59 62.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| X | 2.38 42.0% |
| 3.99 25.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 1 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.76 56.8% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.8 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
| Winline | 1.89 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Fonbet | 1.8 | 3.7 | 3.45 |
| Betcity | 1.8 | 4 | 3.6 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.91 | 3.55 | 3.5 |
Leicester
Ipsvich Taun
Plimut
Koventri Siti
Ekseter Siti
Full head-to-head history: Leicester - Plimut
The Leicester - Plimut breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Leicester is favoured — about 54% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Leicester. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Leicester vs Plimut from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
September 2, 2026.
