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Estonia. League 4
Estonia. League 4
23.07.2026 20:00 UTC round of 32. 1 match
Finished

Estonia. League 4

Bolivar U19 - Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·

Football
B
Bolivar U19
3 : 2
Finished
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

πŸ”’ Β«Formula lockΒ»

1Bolivar U19 β€” 59%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone β€” historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bolivar U19 (odds1.57) Score 2:1 confidence 58% βœ“ outcome correct
  • Model backs Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄: probability 58% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) β€” informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bolivar U19 - Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· July 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bolivar U19. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 6.90 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 32.4%
1 74.8%
X 10.9%
2 14.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Bolivar U19 2 : 1 Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
11.70
X4.21
25.12

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready Β· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated22.07.2026 21:05 UTC
1 56% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 18%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Total menshe 2.5 golov
Per AI data H2H: 1-0
Claude updated22.07.2026 21:17 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 19%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Bolivar or draw)
Per AI data H2H: 1-1
Qwen updated22.07.2026 21:14 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
X 25%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Bolivar ne proigraet)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated22.07.2026 21:18 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 20%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1
GLM 5.2 updated22.07.2026 21:20 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 18%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 3.0 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 1-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 56% 26% 18% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Total menshe 2.5 golov
Claude 55% 26% 19% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (Bolivar or draw)
Qwen 55% 25% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (Bolivar ne proigraet)
Kimi 52% 28% 20% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes
GLM 5.2 52% 30% 18% 1:1 Under 3.0 Yes 1X

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Match center
Start 23.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Bolivar U19 - Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Bolivar - Gremio, 24 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup 2026, round of 32. 1 match. Bolivar - Gremio, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 59.0% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.253 / LogLoss 0.527
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 59.0% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.253 / LogLoss 0.527
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 market consensus Β· line only
X 6.90 Fonbet Β· line only
1 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.11 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 2.20 market consensus Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.20 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 1.74 market consensus Β· line only
2 0 4.20 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 1.30 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 7.20 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.88 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 11.50 8.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.10 47.6%
X 2.42 41.3%
5.50 18.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.72 58.1%
Under 1 2.05 48.8%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Bolivar U19
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
Bolivar U19 Team comparison Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
0 Games 6
0 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
0 Losses 1
0 Scored 8
0 Conceded 3
0 Points 11
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 3.83
match Goly Martin Kauteruchcho Patricio Rodriguez 1:0 2' Matias Vilyasanti 1 16' Robson Mateus 2:1 18' Tete 2 23' Dayron Asprilya Khesus Sagredo 3:2 58' Nakazaniya Leonel Perez 54' Gabriel Mek 72'

Bolivar Gremio 0 Games 6 0 Wins 3 0 Draws 2 0 Losses 1 0 Scored 8 0 Conceded 3 0 Points 11 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 3.83 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 3.83 0 Offsaydy 0.33 0 Foly 9.5 0 % vladeniya myachom 61.5 0 Warnings 2.67 0 Sendoffs 0.33 Sleduyuschiy match 31.07.2026 Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup β€” 2026 Gremio –:– Bolivar round of 32. 2 match Goly Martin Kauteruchcho Patricio Rodriguez 1:0 2' Matias Vilyasanti 1 16' Robson Mateus 2:1 18' Tete 2 23' Dayron Asprilya Khesus Sagredo 3:2 58' Nakazaniya Leonel Perez 54' Gabriel Mek 72'