Match center
Start
28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
Estonia. League 4
Gremio 🇧🇷 - Bolivar U19
0
:
4
Finished
B
Bolivar U19
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Bolivar U19 — 56%
Model estimate: win Gremio 🇧🇷 25.8%, draw 18.0%, win Bolivar U19 56.2%. Model favourite — Bolivar U19.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Bolivar U19 (odds1.78)
Score 1:2
Under 4.5
(odds1.80) ✓
Handicap H1 +4.5
(odds1.55) ✓
confidence 56%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Bolivar 🇧🇴: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2
- • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
- • at line 4.5 (odds 1.80)
- • Handicap F1 +4.5: score forecast 1:2 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.55).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gremio 🇧🇷 - Bolivar U19 July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Gremio 🇧🇷 25.8% / X 18.0% / Bolivar U19 56.2%
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Match center
Gremio 🇧🇷 - Bolivar U19
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:4
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
away - 56.2% fact: away
hit / Brier 0.291 / LogLoss 0.577
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
away - 56.2% fact: away
hit / Brier 0.291 / LogLoss 0.577
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Gremio 🇧🇷
-
25.8%
Draw
-
18.0%
draw risk
Bolivar U19
-
56.2%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
25.8% / 18.0% / 56.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,263 / 1,557
Gremio 🇧🇷 / Bolivar U19
RD
234 / 292
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
794-1,732 / 973-2,140
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
Both teams to score
No
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.14 87.7% |
| yes | 4.70 21.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 6.70 14.9% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| 4.05 24.7% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 10.00 10.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 3.70 27.0% |
| Over 5.5 | 6.60 15.2% |
| Over 6.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Over 7.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 8.5 | 6.30 15.9% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 4.50 22.2% |
| Over 5.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.47 68.0% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
Match center
Gremio 🇧🇷
L
Gremio 🇧🇷
2:3
Bolivar 🇧🇴
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Bolivar U19
W
Bolivar U19
3:2
Gremio 🇧🇷
Gremio 🇧🇷
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGremio 🇧🇷 - Bolivar U19
Gremio 🇧🇷
1
matches total
Gremio 🇧🇷: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bolivar U19: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Bolivar 🇧🇴 2:3 (23.07 20:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (2:3, 23.07 20:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Gremio 🇧🇷
2:3
Bolivar 🇧🇴
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The Gremio 🇧🇷 - Bolivar U19 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form