Match center
Start
29.07.2026 22:30 UTC
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29.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished
Estonia. League 4
Zealot Sporting - Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
Z
Zealot Sporting
1
:
2
Finished
S
Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
π― PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Zealot Sporting β 69%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Zealot Sporting): model 47% Β· market 72% Ξ β25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Zealot Sporting 69.1%, draw 18.7%, win Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ 12.2%. Model favourite β Zealot Sporting.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Zealot Sporting (odds1.82)
Score 2:1
confidence 55%
β outcome missed
- • Model backs Bragantino π§π·: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) β informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Zealot Sporting - Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zealot Sporting.
Line favourite market consensus: Zealot Sporting. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 5.40 / 2 9.20
- Glicko: Zealot Sporting 69.1% / X 18.7% / Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ 12.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 ✓ Pick
72.1%
X
17.6%
2
10.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 2
1.14
β 1.07
β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Zealot Sporting - Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
Movement
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 69.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.282 / LogLoss 2.100
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 69.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.282 / LogLoss 2.100
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 69.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.282 / LogLoss 2.100
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 69.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.282 / LogLoss 2.100
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Zealot Sporting
70.4%
69.1%
market and model agree
Draw
18.5%
18.7%
draw risk
Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
11.1%
12.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
69.1% / 18.7% / 12.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,574 / 1,506
Zealot Sporting / Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
RD
252 / 281
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,071-2,077 / 944-2,068
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.97
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 12.2%
X
5.20
market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.31
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 69.1%
Double chance
12
1.13
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 81.3%
1X
1.04
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 87.8%
X2
3.28
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 30.9%
Total
Over 2.5
1.58
market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5
2.30
market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No
1.81
market consensus Β· line only
Yes
1.94
market consensus Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 1.94 51.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| X | 2.66 37.6% |
| 8.60 11.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-1-0, avg 0.0 gls
2026-07-23 Β· Red Bull Bragantino 0:0 Sporting Kristal
Source: ruscore
Odds Β· 2 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.35 (Pari) Β· X 5.2 (Pari) Β· 2 8.5 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.35 | 5.2 | 8.5 |
| Fonbet | 1.35 | 5.2 | 8.5 |
Source: ruscore Β· line comparison
Zealot Sporting
D
Zealot Sporting
0:0
Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
1
Points
Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
D
Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
0:0
Bragantino π§π·
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyZealot Sporting - Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
Zealot Sporting
1
matches total
Zealot Sporting: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
β
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
β
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (22.07 22:30 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Bragantino π§π·
0:0
Sporting Kristall π΅πͺ
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