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Estonia. Superleague
Estonia. Superleague
31.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Estonia. Superleague

Nomme United - Trans Narva

Football
Nomme United
Nomme United
1 : 1
Finished
T
Trans Narva
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Nomme United — 48%

Pure model vs market (1 · Nomme United): model 55% · market 47% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Nomme United47.8%
X · draw24.1%
2 · Trans Narva28.1%

Model estimate: win Nomme United 47.8%, draw 24.1%, win Trans Narva 28.1%. Model favourite — Nomme United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nomme United (odds11.00) Score 2:1 Over 2.5 (odds6.60) ✗ confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Nymme Yunayted: probability 57% vs 9% on the line (odds 11.00)
  • • edge over the line +48 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1
  • • Total: Over 2.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 6.60).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nomme United - Trans Narva July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nomme United.

Strongest: Nomme United - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.71 / 2 3.23
  • 1X2 market: Nomme United 47.3% / X 24.5% / Trans Narva 28.2%
  • Glicko: Nomme United 47.8% / X 24.1% / Trans Narva 28.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 47.3%
X 24.5%
2 28.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 11.00 ↑ 15.00
1X2 X 1.35 ↓ 1.25
1X2 2 3.65 ↑ 4.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Nomme United 2 : 2 Trans Narva
11.91
X3.66
23.30

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Nomme United 48%
💹 Market Nomme United 4731%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Nomme United - Trans Narva

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 47.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.884 / LogLoss 1.422
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 47.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.884 / LogLoss 1.422
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nomme United 47.4% 47.8% market and model agree
Draw 24.4% 24.1% draw risk
Trans Narva 28.2% 28.1%
1X2: 14 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.8% / 24.1% / 28.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,666 / 1,495 Nomme United / Trans Narva
RD 195 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,276-2,056 / 1,111-1,879 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.23 market consensus · no value · model 28.1%
X 3.72 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 47.8%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
1X 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 71.9%
X2 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 52.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.66 27.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3%
3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.72 36.8%
yes 1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5%
x2 1.72 58.1% 1.76 56.8%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 13.00 7.7%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 71.00 1.4%
1_0 9.50 10.5%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_2 9.50 10.5%
1_3 19.00 5.3%
1_4 46.00 2.2%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 10.00 10.0%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 9.50 10.5%
2_3 19.00 5.3%
2_4 46.00 2.2%
2_5 101.00 1.0%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-4, avg 3.67 gls
2026-06-13 · Nymme Yunayted 2:1 Narva Trans
2026-04-11 · Nymme Yunayted 5:1 Narva Trans
2024-09-21 · Nymme Yunayted 0:4 Narva Trans
2024-07-26 · Nymme Yunayted 1:2 Narva Trans
2024-05-23 · Nymme Yunayted 1:3 Narva Trans
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.85 (Betcity) · X 3.8 (Pari) · 2 3.6 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.77 3.8 3.5
Winline 1.84 3.75 3.45
Fonbet 1.77 3.8 3.5
Betcity 1.85 3.8 3.6
Liga Stavok 1.83 3.8 3.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Nomme United
W W L W
17.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Nomme United 2:1 FloraFlora
11.07 12:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Nomme United 3:2 KuressaareKuressaare
03.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Nomme United 1:3 Kalyu
13.06 09:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Nomme United 2:1 Narva
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points
Trans Narva
W L L L
18.07 12:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Trans Narva 3:1 Pyarnu VaprusPyarnu Vaprus
10.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Trans Narva 0:3 Harju JK LaagriHarju JK Laagri
04.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Trans Narva 1:3 Levadiya
13.06 09:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Trans Narva 1:2 Nymme YunaytedNymme Yunayted
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.3 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNomme United - Trans Narva

Nomme United
1 matches total
Trans Narva
Nomme United: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Trans Narva: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nymme Yunayted 2:1 (13.06 09:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 13.06 09:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.06 09:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings
Nymme Yunayted
2:1
Narva