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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match 29.07.2026 16:45 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 16:45 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match
Finished

Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Hearts - Sturm

Football
Stadium Taynkastl Park (Edinburg, Shotlandiya), vmestimost: 20099
H
Hearts
0 : 2
Finished
Sturm
Sturm
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Hearts — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hearts): model 32% · market 49% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hearts48.7%
X · draw24.1%
2 · Sturm27.2%

Model estimate: win Hearts 48.7%, draw 24.1%, win Sturm 27.2%. Model favourite — Hearts.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sturm (odds3.85) Score 0:1 Under 3 (odds1.87) Handicap H2 +1 (odds1.58) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Shturm 🇦🇹: probability 50% vs 26% on the line (odds 3.85)
  • • edge over the line +24 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 3 (odds 1.87)
  • • Handicap F2 +1: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.58).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hearts - Sturm July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hearts.

Line favourite market consensus: Hearts. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.90 / 2 3.62
  • Glicko: Hearts 48.7% / X 24.1% / Sturm 27.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 49.4%
X 24.3%
2 26.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.80 ↑ 55.00
1X2 X 3.95 ↑ 13.00
1X2 2 3.90 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hearts 1 : 5 Sturm
11.94
X4.00
23.79

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated27.07.2026 17:57 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 34%
2 28%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Shturm ne proigraet (X2)
Per AI data H2H: 0-4
Claude updated27.07.2026 18:10 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 26%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X (Kharts ne proigraet)
Qwen updated27.07.2026 18:06 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 18:25 UTC
1 30%
X 25%
2 45% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0-4

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 38% 34% 28% 1:1 Under 3.5 Yes Shturm ne proigraet (X2)
Claude 48% 26% 26% 1:1 Under 3.5 Yes Double chance 1X (Kharts ne proigraet)
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 30% 25% 45% 1:2 Over 2.5 Yes

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Match center
Stadium Taynkastl Park (Edinburg, Shotlandiya), vmestimost: 20099
Start 29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Hearts 49%
📐 Math model Hearts 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hearts - Sturm

Football, Kharts - Shturm, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Kharts - Shturm, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.825 / LogLoss 1.302
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.825 / LogLoss 1.302
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hearts 49.8% 48.7% market and model agree
Draw 24.2% 24.1% draw risk
Sturm 26.0% 27.2%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.7% / 24.1% / 27.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,518 / 1,758 Hearts / Sturm
RD 238 / 173 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,041-1,995 / 1,413-2,103 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.61 market consensus · no value · model 27.2%
X 3.87 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 48.7%
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
1X 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 72.8%
X2 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 51.3%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.76 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.33 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.24 80.7% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.27 78.7% 1.26 79.4%
x2 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.36 42.4%
X 2.44 41.0%
4.04 24.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.22 45.1%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 1 vr Aleksander Shvolov
  • 23 zsch Yordi Altena
  • 64 zsch Malachi Walcott
  • 3 zsch Stiven Kingsli
  • 18 zsch Harry Milne
  • 6 zsch Oshin Makenti
  • 7 zsch Kelvin Miller
  • 16 pz Bler Spittal
  • 89 pz Aleksandros Kiziridis
  • 10 pz Claudio Braga
Hearts

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Sturm

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers
Match center
Hearts
L
21.07 16:30 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Hearts 0:4 Shturm 🇦🇹Shturm 🇦🇹
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sturm
W
21.07 16:30 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Sturm 4:0 Kharts 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHearts - Sturm

Hearts
1 matches total
Sturm
Hearts: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sturm: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Shturm 🇦🇹 0:4 (21.07 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 21.07 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.07 16:30 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Kharts 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
0:4
Shturm 🇦🇹
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Hearts
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Sturm
Hearts Team comparison Sturm
1 Games 1
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
0 Scored 4
4 Conceded 0
0 Points 3
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
19 Shots on goal 20
4 Udary v stvor 7
1 Games 1
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
0 Scored 4
4 Conceded 0

Kharts Shturm 1 Games 1 0 Wins 1 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 Scored 4 Conceded 0 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 19 Shots on goal 20 4 Udary v stvor 7 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 8 Uglovye 4 1 Offsaydy 0 13 Foly 10 65 % vladeniya myachom 35 2 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0