Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

29.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

29.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Lech Poznan - IFK Hassleholm

Football

Lech Poznan

2 : 1

Finished

IFK Hassleholm

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Lech Poznan — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Lech Poznan): model 61% · market 54% Δ +7 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Lech Poznan ✓ Pick55.1%

X · draw24.5%

2 · IFK Hassleholm20.4%

Model estimate: win Lech Poznan 55.1%, draw 24.5%, win IFK Hassleholm 20.4%. Model favourite — Lech Poznan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Lech Poznan (odds3.20) Score 2:0 Under 2.5 (odds2.20) ✗ Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.65) ✓ confidence 67% ✓ outcome correct

• liniya na pik P1 2.45→2.95 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs Lekh 🇵🇱: probability 67% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.20)
• edge over the line +36 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:0
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 2.20)
• Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.65).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lech Poznan - IFK Hassleholm July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lech Poznan.

Line favourite market consensus: Lech Poznan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.80 / 2 4.61
Glicko: Lech Poznan 55.1% / X 24.5% / IFK Hassleholm 20.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 ✓ Pick 54.3%

X 25.0%

2 20.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 2.45 ↓ 1.04

1X2 X 2.40 ↓ 1.60

1X2 2 3.50 ↑ 4.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lech Poznan 5 : 1 IFK Hassleholm

11.72

X3.85

24.73

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium Enea (Poznan, Poland), vmestimost: 43269

Referee Yudzhin Dzhaya (Albania)

Start 29.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Lech Poznan - IFK Hassleholm

Football, Lekh P - Orkhus, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Lekh P - Orkhus, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 2 match.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.1% fact: home hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.303 / LogLoss 0.595

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.1% fact: home hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.303 / LogLoss 0.595

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Lech Poznan 54.8% 55.1% market and model agree

Draw 24.8% 24.5% draw risk

IFK Hassleholm 20.4% 20.4%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 55.1% / 24.5% / 20.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,928 / 1,604 Lech Poznan / IFK Hassleholm

RD 214 / 199 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,501-2,356 / 1,205-2,002 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.51 market consensus · no value · model 20.4%

X 3.78 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.72 market consensus · no value · model 55.1%

Double chance

12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 75.5%

1X 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 79.6%

X2 2.00 market consensus · no value · model 44.9%

Handicap

2 +0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

2 0 3.30 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.03 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.03 49.3%
yes	1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.24 80.7%
1x	1.19 84.0%
x2	2.00 50.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.28 43.9%
X	2.33 42.9%
	4.71 21.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.64 61.0%
Under 1	2.17 46.1%

Match center

Lech Poznan

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

IFK Hassleholm

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Aleks Duglas Ali Golizade Travmirovannye Luka Kallo Nicolai Poulsen Diskvalifitsirovannye Yesper Khansen CHAMP

SStats Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers

Match center

Lech Poznan

21.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Lech Poznan 4:1 Orkhus 🇩🇰

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

4.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

IFK Hassleholm

21.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

IFK Hassleholm 1:4 Lekh 🇵🇱

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

4.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLech Poznan - IFK Hassleholm

Lech Poznan

1 matches total

IFK Hassleholm

Lech Poznan: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

IFK Hassleholm: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Lekh 🇵🇱 4:1 (21.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 21.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.07 15:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Lekh 🇵🇱

4:1

Orkhus 🇩🇰

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Lech Poznan

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 IFK Hassleholm

1 Games 1

1 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 1

4 Scored 1

1 Conceded 4

3 Points 0

90 Attacks 95

44 Dangerous attacks 52

0 Big chances 0

15 Shots on goal 9

7 Shots on target 4

Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Lekh P Orkhus 1 Games 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 1 4 Scored 1 Conceded 4 3 Points 0 90 Attacks 95 44 Dangerous attacks 52 0 Big chances 0 15 Shots on goal 9 7 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2 Uglovye 4 1 Offsaydy 2 12 Foly 10 56 % vladeniya myachom 44 2 Preduprezhdeni

Lekh P Orkhus 1 Games 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 1 4 Scored 1 Conceded 4 3 Points 0 90 Attacks 95 44 Dangerous attacks 52 0 Big chances 0 15 Shots on goal 9 7 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2 Uglovye 4 1 Offsaydy 2 12 Foly 10 56 % vladeniya myachom 44 2 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 1