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Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
2 qualifying round. 1 match 21.07.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
21.07.2026 16:30 UTC 2 qualifying round. 1 match
Finished

Europe: Champions League - Qualifying

Sturm - Hearts

Football
Sturm
Sturm
4 : 0
Finished
H
Hearts

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sturm - Hearts July 21, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sturm. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 10.00 / 2 4.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 25.6%
1 75.1%
X 8.0%
2 16.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sturm 2 : 2 Hearts
11.80
X4.03
24.47

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude

Google AI updated20.07.2026 17:34 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Total golov menshe 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Qwen updated20.07.2026 17:36 UTC
1 28%
X 35%
2 37% ✓ favourite
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Unión Santa Fe ne proigraet)
Per AI data H2H: 0-1
Kimi updated20.07.2026 17:39 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
X 25%
2 20%
Bet:1
GLM 5.2 updated20.07.2026 17:41 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 18%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 0-0 Injuries:Lavalée, Grgic

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 48% 32% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Total golov menshe 2.5
Qwen 28% 35% 37% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (Unión Santa Fe ne proigraet)
Kimi 55% 25% 20% — — — 1
GLM 5.2 52% 30% 18% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X

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Match center
Stadium Merkur Arena (Grats, Austria), 15 822 zritelya (94% pri vmestimosti 16 764)
Referee Gerge Bogar (Hungary) 4' 1:0 Yon Gorents-Stankovich 50' 2:0 Kheyland Mitchell 53' 3:0 Luka Vaynkhandl 57' Yon Gorents-Stankovich 59' 4:0 Yurgen Khayl 0' 45' 90' 47' Kristian Dale Borkhgrevink 86' Claudio Braga
Start 21.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Sturm - Hearts

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Shturm - Kharts, 21 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Champions League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 1 match. Shturm - Kharts, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 53.2% fact: home hit / ROI 83.0% / Brier 0.329 / LogLoss 0.631
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 53.2% fact: home hit / ROI 83.0% / Brier 0.329 / LogLoss 0.631
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.41 market consensus · line only
X 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.17 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 6.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.09 91.7% 2.06 48.5%
yes 5.60 17.9% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.23 81.3% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.07 93.5%
x2 2.01 49.8% 2.00 50.0% 6.70 14.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.28 43.9%
X 2.35 42.6%
4.65 21.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.13 47.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historySturm - Hearts

Sturm
0 matches total
Hearts
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Sturm
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Hearts
Sturm Team comparison Hearts
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
match Goly Yon Gorents-Stankovich Kheyland Mitchell 1:0 4' Kheyland Mitchell Otar Kiteishvili 2:0 50' Luka Vaynkhandl Sidi Yatta 3:0 53' Yurgen Khayl 4:0 59' Nakazaniya Kristian Dale Borkhgrevink 47' Yon Gorents-Stankovich 57' Claudio Braga 86'

Shturm Kharts 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 28.07.2026 Champions League Kharts –:– Shturm 2 qualifying round. 2 match Goly Yon Gorents-Stankovich Kheyland Mitchell 1:0 4' Kheyland Mitchell Otar Kiteishvili 2:0 50' Luka Vaynkhandl Sidi Yatta 3:0 53' Yurgen Khayl 4:0 59' Nakazaniya Kristian Dale Borkhgrevink 47' Yon Gorents-Stankovich 57' Claudio Braga 86'