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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

2 qualifying round. 1 match 23.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

23.07.2026 16:00 UTC 2 qualifying round. 1 match

Finished

UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Sankt-Gallen 🇨🇭 - Benfica

Football

Sankt-Gallen 🇨🇭

2 : 1

Finished

Benfica

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Benfica — 66%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Benfica (odds1.41) Score 0:2 confidence 66% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs Benfika 🇵🇹: probability 66% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sankt-Gallen 🇨🇭 - Benfica July 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sankt-Gallen 🇨🇭. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / X 5.20 / 2 1.43

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 74.6%

1 48.9%

X 11.0%

2 40.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sankt-Gallen 🇨🇭 2 : 2 Benfica

17.46

X5.20

21.35

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Stadium Kibunpark

Start 23.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Sankt-Gallen 🇨🇭 - Benfica

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Sankt-Gallen - Benfika, 23 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 1 match. Sankt-Gallen - Benfika, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 66.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.208 / LogLoss 1.923

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 66.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.208 / LogLoss 1.923

Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 66.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.208 / LogLoss 1.923

Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 66.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.208 / LogLoss 1.923

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.40 market consensus · line only

X 5.20 Fonbet · line only

1 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.13 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.33 Fonbet · line only

X2 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 10.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.90 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	3.25 30.8%	1.94 51.6%
yes	1.30 76.9%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%
1x	2.80 35.7%	2.85 35.1%	1.33 75.2%
x2	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%	4.40 22.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	6.80 14.7%
X	2.62 38.2%
	1.81 55.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.23 44.8%
Under 1.5	1.61 62.1%

Match center

Full head-to-head historySankt-Gallen 🇨🇭 - Benfica

Sankt-Gallen 🇨🇭

0 matches total

Benfica

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Sankt-Gallen 🇨🇭

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Benfica

0 Games 0

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

0 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

round. 2 match Goly Aliu Balde Lukas Gertler 1:0 37' Rafael Silva Vangelis Pavlidis 1 44' Tom Gaal Lukas Dashner 2:1 80' Nakazaniya Lukas Gertler 30' Yozo Stanich 62' Vangelis Pavlidis 64' Tom Gaal 90+4'

Sankt-Gallen Benfika 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 30.07.2026 Europa League Benfika –:– Sankt-Gallen 2 qualifying round. 2 match Goly Aliu Balde Lukas Gertler 1:0 37' Rafael Silva Vangelis Pavlidis 1 44' Tom Gaal Lukas Dashner 2:1 80' Nakazaniya Lukas Gertler 30' Yozo Stanich 62' Vangelis Pavlidis 64' Tom Gaal 90+4'