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Turkey. Superleague
Turkey. Superleague
2 qualifying round. 1 match 23.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
23.07.2026 14:00 UTC 2 qualifying round. 1 match
Finished

Turkey. Superleague

Payde 🇪🇪 - Zirya 🇦🇿

Football
P
Payde 🇪🇪
1 : 0
Finished
Z
Zirya 🇦🇿
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Zirya 🇦🇿 — 70%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Zirya 🇦🇿 (odds1.32) Score 0:2 Under 2.5 (odds1.92) ✓ Handicap H2 -1.5 (odds2.00) ✗ confidence 68% ✗ outcome missed
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.30→1.33 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Zirya 🇦🇿: probability 68% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:2
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.92)
  • • Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 0:2 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 2.00).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Payde 🇪🇪 - Zirya 🇦🇿 July 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Payde 🇪🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / X 6.90 / 2 1.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 80.3%
1 50.9%
X 8.0%
2 41.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Payde 🇪🇪 1 : 1 Zirya 🇦🇿
18.10
X4.90
21.34

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Rannastaadion
Start 23.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Payde 🇪🇪 - Zirya 🇦🇿

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Payde - Zirya, 23 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 1 match. Payde - Zirya, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 67.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.257 / LogLoss 2.061
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 67.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.257 / LogLoss 2.061
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 67.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.257 / LogLoss 2.061
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 67.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.257 / LogLoss 2.061
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 market consensus · line only
X 6.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.37 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.37 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.19 84.0% 1.47 68.0%
yes 4.20 23.8% 2.55 39.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5% 1.07 93.5%
1x 3.03 33.0% 3.10 32.3% 1.17 85.5%
x2 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2% 6.10 16.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
8.80 11.4%
X 2.40 41.7%
1.82 55.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.78 56.2%
Over 1.5 2.37 42.2%
Under 1 1.97 50.8%
Under 1.5 1.54 64.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 1.0 gls
2026-07-23 · Payde 1:0 Zirya
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 7.8 (Betcity) · X 5.4 (Betcity) · 2 1.77 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 7.1 5 1.33
Winline 4.5 3.75 1.77
Fonbet 7.1 5 1.33
Betcity 7.8 5.4 1.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Payde 🇪🇪
W D
16.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Payde 🇪🇪 3:0 Khegelmann 🇱🇹
09.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Payde 🇪🇪 1:1 Khegelmann 🇱🇹
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Zirya 🇦🇿
W W
16.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Zirya 🇦🇿 3:0 Torpedo Kutaisi 🇬🇪
08.07 14:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Zirya 🇦🇿 3:0 Torpedo Kutaisi 🇬🇪
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Payde 🇪🇪
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Zirya 🇦🇿
Payde 🇪🇪 Team comparison Zirya 🇦🇿
2 Games 2
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
4 Scored 6
1 Conceded 0
4 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
6.5 Shots on goal 12
4 Shots on target 6
round. 2 match Goly Pa Abdou Cham Khenri Anier 1:0 87' Nakazaniya Siim Luts 36' Nikita Baranov 62' Amin Seydiev 77'

Payde Zirya 2 Games 2 1 Wins 2 1 Draws 0 Losses 0 4 Scored 6 1 Conceded 0 4 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 6.5 Shots on goal 12 4 Udary v stvor 6 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.5 Uglovye 5.5 1.5 Offsaydy 2 13.5 Foly 17 56.5 % vladeniya myachom 46 1 Warnings 1.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 30.07.2026 Conference League Zirya –:– Payde 2 qualifying round. 2 match Goly Pa Abdou Cham Khenri Anier 1:0 87' Nakazaniya Siim Luts 36' Nikita Baranov 62' Amin Seydiev 77'