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Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
2 qualifying round. 1 match 22.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
22.07.2026 16:00 UTC 2 qualifying round. 1 match
Finished

Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

Vardar (Mak) - FK Riga 🇱🇻

Football
Vardar (Mak)
Vardar (Mak)
2 : 3
Finished
FK Riga 🇱🇻
FK Riga 🇱🇻

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vardar (Mak) - FK Riga 🇱🇻 July 22, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: FK Riga 🇱🇻. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.60 / X 10.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 36.8%
1 20.3%
X 7.3%
2 72.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vardar (Mak) 2 : 1 FK Riga 🇱🇻
13.24
X3.36
22.14

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Toshe Proeski
Start 22.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Vardar (Mak) - FK Riga 🇱🇻

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Vardar - Riga, 22 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 1 match. Vardar - Riga, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 3.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
X2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.42 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.15 31.8% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.30 76.9% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1% 11.00 9.1%
x2 1.31 76.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.14 87.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.56 28.1%
X 2.33 42.9%
2.71 36.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Under 1 2.22 45.1%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Vardar (Mak)
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 FK Riga 🇱🇻
Vardar (Mak) Team comparison FK Riga 🇱🇻
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
atsionnyy round. 2 match Goly Diego Kastaneda 1:0 28' Orlando Galo Raki Auani 1 35' Yago Sikeyra Orlando Galo 1:2 39' Zherson Rodrigesh Goran Zakarich 2 66' Yago Sikeyra Andres Salasar 2:3 81' Nakazaniya Mislav Matich 15' Baba Musa 20' Orlando Galo 21' Rayvis Yurkovskis 43' Salakh Ulad 52' Filip Naydovski 90+1'

Vardar Riga 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 28.07.2026 Conference League Riga –:– Vardar 2 qualifying round. 2 match Goly Diego Kastaneda 1:0 28' Orlando Galo Raki Auani 1 35' Yago Sikeyra Orlando Galo 1:2 39' Zherson Rodrigesh Goran Zakarich 2 66' Yago Sikeyra Andres Salasar 2:3 81' Nakazaniya Mislav Matich 15' Baba Musa 20' Orlando Galo 21' Rayvis Yurkovskis 43' Salakh Ulad 52' Filip Naydovski 90+1'