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Finland. League 2
Finland. League 2
05.08.2026 15:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Finland. League 2

SalPa - JJK

Football
SalPa
SalPa
1 : 1
Finished
JJK
JJK

SalPa face JJK on August 5, 2026 in the Finland. League 2.

Recent form (W-D-L): SalPa 2-1-2, JJK 1-1-3. The market favourite is SalPa at roughly 47%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 SalPa — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · SalPa): model 56% · market 47% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market

1 · SalPa47.0%
X · draw23.5%
2 · JJK29.5%

Model estimate: win SalPa 47.0%, draw 23.5%, win JJK 29.5%. Model favourite — SalPa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2JJK (odds2.16) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs YYK Yyuvyaskyulya: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.16)
  • • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SalPa - JJK August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SalPa.

Strongest: SalPa - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.81 / 2 3.09
  • 1X2 market: SalPa 46.8% / X 23.8% / JJK 29.4%
  • Glicko: SalPa 47.0% / X 23.5% / JJK 29.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.1% 15 books · best price +3.6%
1 46.5%
X 23.7%
2 29.8%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (1xBet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.05 ↓ 1.06
1X2 X 3.95 ↓ 1.35
1X2 2 2.85 ↑ 7.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Ykkönen
League table
SalPa
#526 ptsGP 177-5-531:29
JJK
#725 ptsGP 177-4-640:33
Best price across 13 books
1 2.03 SBO
X 4.00 Betfair
2 3.35 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
SalPa
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.69 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.95 xGA 1.53
JJK
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 2.30 Conceded 2.11 xG 2.13 xGA 1.51

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
SalPa
Rating 1485 xG 1.89 Win 50%
JJK
Rating 1459 xG 1.38 Win 28%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

SalPa 2 : 2 JJK
12.05
X3.72
22.93

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated05.08.2026 16:49 UTC
1 47% ✓ favourite
X 24%
2 29%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X and Over 1.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-2
Claude updated05.08.2026 16:54 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 26%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X (SalPa ne proigraet) po 1.35+, 2–3% banka

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 47% 24% 29% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X and Over 1.5
Claude 48% 26% 26% 1:1 Under 3.5 Yes Double chance 1X (SalPa ne proigraet) po 1.35+, 2–3% banka

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 46.8% @ 1.94 / X 23.8% @ 3.81 / 2 29.4% @ 3.09
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models SalPa 48%
📐 Math model SalPa 47%
💹 Market SalPa 4680%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

SalPa - JJK

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
SalPa 46.5% 47.0% market and model agree
Draw 23.7% 23.5% draw risk
JJK 29.8% 29.5%
xG - 1.89 : 1.38
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.0% / 23.5% / 29.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,443 / 1,258 SalPa / Jyvaskyla
RD 181 / 168 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,080-1,805 / 922-1,593 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.80 Fonbet · no value · model 29.5%
X 1.35 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 47.0%
Double chance
12 2.80 Fonbet · weak value +114.3% · model 76.5%
1X 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 70.5%
X2 6.80 Fonbet · weak value +260.1% · model 53.0%
Handicap
2 +1 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.35 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3%
X 3.78 26.5% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%
3.24 30.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.60 38.5% 3.10 32.3%
yes 1.43 69.9% 1.32 75.8%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 2.80 35.7%
1x 1.34 74.6% 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.71 58.5% 6.80 14.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 18.00 5.6%
0_1 15.00 6.7%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_11 100.00 1.0%
0_2 19.00 5.3%
0_3 36.00 2.8%
0_4 80.00 1.3%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 12.00 8.3%
1_1 8.00 12.5%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-2-0, avg 3.0 gls
2026-05-16 · SalPa 2:2 Yuvyaskyula
2023-09-16 · SalPa 2:2 Yuvyaskyula
2023-07-15 · SalPa 1:0 Yuvyaskyula
2023-05-06 · SalPa 3:0 Yuvyaskyula
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.83 (Liga Stavok) · X 4 (Winline) · 2 3.6 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.77 3.95 3.4
Winline 1.82 4 3.45
Fonbet 1.77 3.95 3.4
Betcity 1.8 4 3.6
Liga Stavok 1.83 4 3.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
SalPa
L W D W L
25.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
SalPa 0:1 Keski-UusimaaKeski-Uusimaa
18.07 12:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
SalPa 2:1 Inter Turku 2
04.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
SalPa 2:2 VYaSVYaS
12.06 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
SalPa 4:3 KuPS Akatemiya
06.06 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
SalPa 0:5 OLS OuluOLS Oulu
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
7 Points
JJK
L L D L W
25.07 11:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
JJK 0:4 RoPSRoPS
18.07 13:30 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
JJK 1:3 Dzhaz Pori
11.07 12:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
JJK 4:4 KuPS Akatemiya
05.07 10:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
JJK 0:1 TPV
13.06 12:00 UTC Finland: First Division Standings
JJK 3:2 KPVKPV
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySalPa - JJK

SalPa
0 matches total
JJK
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history