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Finland: Second Division - Group B Standings
Finland: Second Division - Group B Standings
04.08.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Finland: Second Division - Group B Standings

Ilves Tampere 2 - MuSa

Football
I
Ilves Tampere 2
0 : 0
Finished
M
MuSa

Ilves Tampere 2 take on MuSa on August 4, 2026 in the Finland: Second Division - Group B Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ilves Tampere 2 2-2-1, MuSa 1-1-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 83% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ilves Tampere 2 — 83%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ilves Tampere 2): model 64% · market 84% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ilves Tampere 2 ✓ Pick82.9%
market84%
X · draw11.2%
market11%
2 · MuSa5.9%
market5%

Model estimate: win Ilves Tampere 2 82.9%, draw 11.2%, win MuSa 5.9%. Model favourite — Ilves Tampere 2.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ilves Tampere 2 (odds1.67) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Ilves 2: probability 60% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilves Tampere 2 - MuSa August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Ilves Tampere 2 82.9% / X 11.2% / MuSa 5.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 84.1%
X 10.8%
2 5.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Kakkonen - Lohko B
League table
Ilves Tampere 2
#424 ptsGP 146-6-237:24
MuSa
#99 ptsGP 142-3-916:41
Best price across 12 books
1 1.14 Bet365
X 9.50 Betfair
2 15.00 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ilves Tampere 2
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 3.10 Conceded 1.70 xG 2.08 xGA 1.77
MuSa
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.50 Conceded 2.79 xG 1.26 xGA 2.77

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ilves Tampere 2
Rating 1638 xG 3.00 Win 83%
MuSa
Rating 1374 xG 0.73 Win 6%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Ilves Tampere 2 - MuSa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 82.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.479 / LogLoss 2.189
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 82.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.479 / LogLoss 2.189
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 82.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.479 / LogLoss 2.189
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 82.9% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.479 / LogLoss 2.189
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ilves Tampere 2 84.1% 82.9% market and model agree
Draw 10.8% 11.2% draw risk
MuSa 5.1% 5.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 82.9% / 11.2% / 5.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,810 / 1,423 Ilves Tampere 2 / MuSa
RD 190 / 178 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,431-2,190 / 1,067-1,779 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 8.37 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 82.9%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 88.8%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 94.1%
X2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 17.1%
Handicap
2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.09 91.7% 2.27 44.1%
yes 5.60 17.9% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
1x — — 1.03 97.1%
x2 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2% 8.50 11.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.43 69.9%
X 3.21 31.2%
10.30 9.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 2 2.10 47.6%
Under 2 1.65 60.6%
Match center
Ilves Tampere 2
L D W D W
2026-07-24 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
Ilves Tampere 2 Pallo-Iirot 2:1 Ilves Tampere 2
2026-07-18 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
Ilves Tampere 2 Ilves Tampere 2 2:2 Honka
2026-07-14 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
Ilves Tampere 2 Ilves Tampere 2 6:2 Grankulla
2026-07-10 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
Ilves Tampere 2 AIFK 1:1 Ilves Tampere 2
2026-07-05 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
Ilves Tampere 2 Ilves Tampere 2 4:2 Espoon Palloseura
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
MuSa
L L W L D
2026-07-25 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
MuSa 0:2 Espoon Palloseura MuSa
2026-07-18 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
HJS Akatemia 2:1 MuSa MuSa
2026-07-09 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
MuSa 3:1 Grankulla MuSa
2026-07-04 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
Honka 7:1 MuSa MuSa
2026-06-27 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
MuSa 2:2 Pallo-Iirot MuSa
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIlves Tampere 2 - MuSa

Ilves Tampere 2
1 matches total
MuSa
Ilves Tampere 2: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
MuSa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Ilves Tampere 2 3:4 (2026-05-23) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (3:4, 2026-05-23) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 4

Match history

2026-05-23 Kakkonen 2026, Group B
MuSa 3:4 Ilves Tampere 2