Finland. League 1
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 EIF Ekenas — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · EIF Ekenas): model 35% · market 68% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win EIF Ekenas 47.0%, draw 24.2%, win Klubi 04 28.8%. Model favourite — EIF Ekenas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like EIF Ekenas.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.18 84.8% | 2.48 40.3% |
| yes | 4.10 24.4% | 1.48 67.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.74 57.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 10.50 9.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.33 42.9% | |
| X | 2.47 40.5% |
| 3.76 26.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.95 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Winline | 2.09 | 3.4 | 3.05 |
| Fonbet | 1.95 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Betcity | 2.13 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.11 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
EIF Ekenas
Klubi 04
Full head-to-head historyEIF Ekenas - Klubi 04
The EIF Ekenas - Klubi 04 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
